We’ve also seen plenty of times when the NAM shows 30+ amounts 48 hours before a storm and those locations end up with 6-12. Like most storms, likely going to be a nowcast situation with some hopefully pleasant surprises. .
One thing it may be picking up on, which we’ll see in the 0z runs coming up, is an overall slower evolution of the system. It’s slowed down each of the past few runs. That slower system could ultimately cause the GFS solution to be correct. .
I’m honestly surprised we’re only seeing 12-15in numbers with that amount of moisture and duration. I wouldn’t be surprised if some of those blues start showing up in NJ eventually Or is it aqua…..