Brian D
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Everything posted by Brian D
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My forecast for Father's Day, and Juneteenth (18th & 19th). Exiting front with high pressure moving in keeping things pleasant, although a little cool across the lakes. More shower/storm potential moving in from the west. There may still be a stationary boundary affecting the southern sub, tho.
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Happy Easter everyone. Hope your weekend has been good.
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Yeah, temps are going to be well above normal for a few days. As long as we don't get heavy rain on top of the quick melting, we should be OK.
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Good call here. Some showers with poss thunder moving through.
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43 here today. Went to my daughter's for Easter meal with family. Sun was warm. Felt good.
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50's n 60's next week will feel nice. Rapid snowmelt, tho, will cause flooding issues. High water content with a robust snowpack this year. Duluth needs 4.1" of snow to beat their record, and TH 7NW needs 8.5". Going to be tight, but still have a 4 week window, or so, to do it in, and Duluth would be an easier reach.
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Prelim data in for March. Pretty avg. Charts are 5/10 yr trends respectively.
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Looks like 2-6" for the shore this morning. Drifted pretty good for a while early on, but snow became a little more wet, and mixed with sleet during the wee hours. I had 5" while co-op only reported 2" at the lakeshore this morning. I reported in at midnight, but the sleet, very wet light snow mix compacted it down while adding, so still 5". And as I'm writing this, another band of mod snow moving through for garnish LOL
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Agreed!
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Just had a band of thundersleet move through. Pea-sized stuff. Pretty cool. Don't get see that very often, or thundersnow.
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Heavy snow band moved in with winds 40+. Vis down to 1 block. Very cool! 1/2 block now with very heavy snow Vis dropped to 100" or so at one point. That was a very cool snow band with the wind. Hope to see a little more of that today before things get too warm later tonight.
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Forecast hasn't changed. N WI is under ice storm warning, so it could get pretty ugly for them. I-Falls under blizzard warning. Rare for them. I'm curious to see how the forecast for the shore actually turns out.
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Staring tomorrow, looks like I'll be dealing with high winds off the lake, snow, frz rn. What a mess! Looks like 3-6" plus 0.25" of ice with it. Possible thunder in the mix, too. AARGH. Western areas of the state into the Dakotas going to get hammered with 1-2' of snow and high winds. My granddaughter lives an hour south of Fargo, so she's in the bullseye for serious blizzard conditions.
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Snow band came through for an hour around 10 am. Flakes got up to 50c, and even golf ball size. Winds were calm. That was a beautiful sight! Picked up a quick inch of fluff.
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Check my sig, and you can see what DLH, TH 7NW needs, although TH 7NW is behind in reporting. He/she likes to send in data once a week or so, so should be updated soon. Next weeks storm could do the trick.
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As soon as we break the snow season record...all in
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1-2" only for the area. Dry air did the pac-man. Now another couple inches coming up but with lots of wind starting tonight into tomorrow. Up to 50+ mph possible.
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Good call for this day.
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Just some historical notes here. Duluth wx obs were downtown near the lakeshore up until the late 40's, when it moved to the current location 5 miles inland. Would be similar to Chicago. Different climos at those locations. Bigger swings in max/min temps at current site. The lake tends to soften the daily diurnal range than current obs site. MSP was downtown until the 30's, when it moved to it's current site. Both arpt sites went ASOS in the 90's, which put the readings more out around the tarmacs. Current instrument islands were set up during the 2000's I believe. This story is probably very similar to all current major airport set ups. The current set ups are ideal for airport ops, not necessarily for climate monitoring. CRN sites were set up for that, but very short records. 15 yrs worth right now. When all said, and done we try to gleam the best we can from all records that are biased to some degree. And yes, we base our records off the data we have because, well, that's all we have. I've seen the UHI effect in small towns. One record I looked at moved from in town for most of its life to 1 mile outside into farmland. Avg temp cooled. It is what it is, and, again we do are best to gleam climo from that.
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Looks like 3-5" forecast for the North Shore tonight, then a possible BOOM come next Wed. Records looking like they are going to fall.
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Memorial weekend looks stormy to start, and mostly clearing out by Monday with lingering weather in the southeastern half of the sub. Possible lingering trough over the north bringing showers.
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For Mother's Day this year it's looking like we have potential stormy conditions to watch for, for a couple days.
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3-5" of perfect snowman snow around my area this morning with 6-10" up the shore. Pretty mellow week on tap with avg temps.
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We'll add as much as we can for your trip, but no guarantees for April weather. Some surprises yet for us here in April is my feeling looking at my modelling method, although a 2013 type April would be a bit much to ask. (50" along the terrain). That being said, tonight will add some, especially up Lutsen way.
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Looks like another 6" possible Tues night-Wed. Coming through at night this time of year is better for acum snow. Temps like to rise into the 30's during the day now leading to more mixing, at least here at the shore. Lack of ice is a big factor too. MSP should get a quick hit Thurs. Looks like snow to rain.
