Brian D

More reports coming in show 4-8" totals for NE MN. Temps still running mild at around 30, and calm. Wet snow. Cold air will harden that up overnight, but some will blow around in the high winds, especially with CAA snow showers.

Looks like 4-6" around here. Heavy snow bands were moving through this morning. If there was much of a wind, it would have been whiteout conditions, but it was relatively calm. Still snowing north of me with the possibly of a little more developing for the afternoon down my way. After the low passes, very gusty winds from the NW up to 45 mph slated for the overnight. Lots of blowing snow mixed with lingering backside light snows will keep visibilities down. Hence the storm warning until tomorrow morning along the shore. Still waiting on a 70 mph blizzard making 6' drifts across roads like in my younger days.

Storm watch for the NE tip of MN tomorrow. 4-7" possible from this clipper with 30-35 mph winds. Could see a foot with lake enhancement up in Cook county (Grand Marais/ Grand Portage). I'm only expecting 3-4" here in town, but the higher terrain, and up the shore should do very well.

Did a work up of extreme max temps at 4 stations to see how it looked after the mid Dec heat wave. These are the #1 max temps with the most extreme 5+dF being noted. I also noted the 10+dF, and if they are monthly records. The 2021 event was a strong one, and sits in among an elite group of events in the record. Here's the list of 10+ events with (*) being a monthly record. Also the charts. LaCrosse, WI March 5, 2000 70 +12 May 31, 1934 107 +13* Nov 29, 1998 65 +10 Dec 15, 2021 69 +17* Dec 28, 1984 60 +11 Madison, WI March 15, 2012 82 +13 March 18, 2012 81 +11 April 22, 1980 94 +11* May 31, 1934 101 +12* June 1, 1934 100 +10 Oct 13, 1975 90 +10* Dec 15, 2021 68 +16* Dec 28, 1984 62 +10 Lancaster, WI Jan 1, 1897 60 +13* Feb 23, 2017 70 +12* March 4, 1983 67 +10 April 9, 1930 89 +12 May 31, 1934 104 +12* July 13, 1936 107 +10 Dec 16, 2021 68 +13* Dec 26, 2019 56 +11 Charles City, IA Jan 1, 1897 58 +10 Feb 15, 1921 64 +10 Feb 16, 1981 62 +10 March 17, 2012 80 +11 April 6, 1991 89 +11 May 31, 1934 104 +13* June 8, 1985 102 +10 Dec 8, 1946 63 +10 Dec 15, 2021 68 +15*

12z GFs showing a similar set up to what I'm seeing for that time frame. Hope it goes well for you guys in the southern areas.

Looks like another 3" for me come Tues with the next clipper. 6"+ up the shore with lake enhanced snows from the S/SE.

Basically you need to be under the dark blue/green to see anything substantial. Very narrow bands. Typical.

Ah hell, I forgot to post Ground Hogs day. I had it done when I posted the other ones when I started this new thread. Well here it is. Pretty much the same as the others. High pressure over the region, in between fronts, with chilly weather in the north, and potential storm in south. Hope it pans out for you guys down there.

Looks like a decent call.

Overall, 5-7" along the North Shore (Duluth to Silver Bay). Still snowing out on the lake with snow showers moving inland. Fresh powder for the ski slopes. Another round of snow Tues, then bitter crap returns.

Just snow showers here now with snow reports of 5-7" around town. The band is hitting the head of lake now on a NE trajectory. They should see their totals jump now, too. Next round comes mid next week with another clipper.

Starting to see a push from the north. 2 bands going right now. One over me, and another just north. Should see the second over me soon. Duluth/Superior should see stronger action later this afternoon.

A weak band set up around midnight last night, very light snow for a while. A little heavier just N of Duluth, then it sank south of me. Started up again here early this morning. More of a popcorn LES event today. Snow squalls moving through every few minutes. Yeah, the dry air mixing in is hampering development, along with higher pressure, so not seeing an organized, solid band. 3" reports have come in along the path, but hard to tell in town because the wind is blowing it around. ENE at 20-30 with dry, fluffy snow. Whiteout when the heavier bands move through.

And I will end up with an LES event from this set up. Very cold air running parallel at the surface and mid levels (ENE) with a bullseye on my area. Exact placement determines if it's 1" IMBY or 6". It should make its way down towards Duluth during the day, as winds turn more NE. They maybe undercasting the snow down that way, especially downtown area/Superior, but since it'll be afternoon by then, streamers usually peter out some as the day warms, so I guess we shall see what happens.

Bye Bye Bitter, Hello Average, and a little snow to boot.

My forecast for St Patrick's Day has high pressure over the region after a system has moved through the day before, with another knocking on the door. So a cooler day that day, but only briefly. In general, March looks very active, and at times, very mild. Expect some wild weather.

Been boiling a pot of water today to bring the humidity up in the house. Very dry, and it also gives the furnace a little break. Runs hard on cold, windy days.

GFS has what I'm looking for on MLK Day. Few days to go.

Temps running -15 to -20 with wind chills up to -45. Wind chill warning has been out for N MN this morning. Always have to look at the old vs new wind chill charts. A good part of my life was under the old values, and they are still ingrained in me. Based on temp and wind, the -45 is -60 under the old. -60 to -75 wind chills were common back in the day, which equates to -45 to -55 now.

Wow, i'd say. The 1889/90 winter was a very warm one. The SE continued in the warmth. Jan 1890 was 3rd, and Feb was 4th warmest. That makes the 1889/90 winter #1 for that region.

Serious warmth in the southern US. The central/southern plains region was really warm. But I see that this happened just one other time in this area. 1889. This is the second time Dec got this warm in over 130 years. The SC chrt has 2021 by a nose with prelim data, by 0.06. For the southeast region this would be the 3rd time with 2015 in the mix, but 1889 still a little stronger. Impressive stuff.

-30's across the Northland this morning, away from the lake. Top 5 cold. That's twice already this month we've seen temps dip that low. Winds go calm, and the temps plummet.

Here's a recap of the seasons this year, and how this year compared in the long period record. A very strong showing this past summer, and fall.

Well, data is coming in for Dec. This is how it looked. Impressive warmth. Lots of near record/record avg's in the southern part of our region. With the anomaly chart, this last Dec was definitely up there with a few other years.

About 6" from this system. Decent lake band very early this morning helped bring the total up. Snow winding down now.