Brian D

HP n cold, dry air on stiff E/NE wind (wind adv)shunting the moisture S & W. DLH might catch the edge of it around sunset. Too bad, as fires are still going. Need more RN this way.

Stiff E winds for today, and tomorrow 20-30+. Not good. Could cause flare ups of the fires that are still burning. Downright chilly day on tap with highs in the 40's.

A couple chilly mornings on tap. Freeze warnings out for NE MN n N WI.

Halloween looks cooler, but OK for most, with some showers (maybe LER/S) possible with a passing front.

Columbus Day in mid Oct looking wet for the S half of the sub, and maybe some LER of the Lakes. A wet looking pattern for mid month.

Child Health Day in early Oct looking fair for most, with wet wx leaving the E sub.

Constitution/Citizen Day in mid Sept looking chilly with CAN HP moving in behind a front sweeping through the sub.

Summer wx gone for a few days. Power went out last night for a couple hrs as a tree fell over a power line just a couple blocks over from me. It was a windy day yesterday, and stms went through with some stronger gusts, but nothing too high. It must have been damaged then finally just fell, as it was well after the winds had calmed down around 10:30 pm.

I-Falls' record starts in 1948 with a spattering of records from earlier. Not really that robust, but it still is impressive that they have had that many 90's. If 1934 were in the record, it may have been similar.

Fires have expanded rapidly. Camp House is at 10k acres, Jenkins Creek at 15k acres, and Munger Shaw at 1600. Over 100 structures burned (cabins n homes). Tomorrow, the rains enter the picture, so that will be a great help. The Greenwood Lake fire back in Aug 2021 burned 27k with 14 structures burned. On the map, you can see that lake to the NE of these fires was the general area of that one.

Camphouse, Jenkins, and Munger Fires. All over 1000 acres, if not around 2000 acres, each in size this morning. Cooler wx, and rain in the picture starting Thurs.

N MI, and NE MN are pretty similar in environment, but with more lakes, and swamps. It does tend to get warmer than there, tho, with the air coming in from the W or S out of the plains. N MI is surrounded by the big water. The Lake Superior shore is the same all around.

Yeah, things slowly changing, but the biggest problem we have right now is the spruce worm. It's killing a lot of pines. The problem is all over NA. There used to be lots of elms, and birch, but disease wiped them out (mostly out) back in the 80's. S trees won't survive here yet, but if we survive until the end of the century, and trends do continue to warm things up enough, new S species will take root eventually. Aspen (Poplar dominate) around here thrive just fine. They clone themselves through the root system. they are like a weed. If you want another specie in an area that has been cleared, you have to kill them first before planting. They are really hardy, and it will take a lot to see them disappear.

Summer to Spring this week. Potential snow along the border this weekend.

"Camphouse Fire" it's called, as it's just on the N side of Camphouse Rd. It was 200 acres last night, maybe a bit more this morning. Very, very dry conditions. Rel Hum was like desert air yesterday around 10% or so. Temps skyrocketed because of that on stiff SW winds. Here in town, temps steadily climbed into the mid 70's until around 10pm or so, as the S winds started shifting SW, lessening the Lake's influence. Another hot one today.

Red Flag warnings out for very dry, warm conditions. Gusty winds up to 30 mph possible. MN fishing opener this weekend. One of the better openers we've had, as far as pleasant conditions go. Happy Mother's Day to any that may be on the board. Think it's mainly a guy thing around here, tho.

Pretty good call here with a boundary hanging out along the NW area of the sub. Pretty dry though with just some scattered showers.

Mid 80's here around TH yesterday. As soon as the wind turned from the S to the W, temps jumped. S winds bring in some Lake air, keeping temps a little cooler, but a W wind comes from land, and downslopes, causing temps to rise quickly. Today, E winds will keep temps around avg in the mid 50's. Whiplash wx.

Early data in showing an avg April. 5 & 10 yr trend charts shown respectively.

Temps hit mid-upper 80's along the shore with W winds today. Awesome summer day.

Going to be another hot one away from the Lake today. Max temps across MN will running +15-20. Almost the whole state again. Similar to yesterday.

Improved drought status from all the recent precip we've had up my way. We'll see if we can at least maintain that in the coming weeks. Doesn't look like much precip in the forecast/models for my area. I'm expecting better potential late May into June for some heavier stuff.

~ 1/2" of rain so far around the TH area, with close to an 1" around the DLH area. Still raining pretty good. Just a blah, wet day, but some rather pleasant, seasonably warm conditions on tap for the 1st week of May.

An OK forecast here. I do have a front, but energy from the SW heads NE ahead of the CAN front, which I indicate, but was not sure if it would move up ahead or along the boundary or not. Obviously that will be the case, bringing more rain/stms into our sub than a simple frontal boundary from CAN.

0.96" from the shwrs/stms yesterday into this morning. Nothing svr imby, but did get some pea hail with the initial round of stms. Looks like a 1-2"+ with isolated 3"+ of rain around N MN. That was really needed. Should knock back the drought conditions.