Brian D

Svr stms popping to my W with strong hail sigs. Couple hrs, and they should be on my doorstep.

Cleared off nicely. Been out soaking up some rays on the deck. Very light lake breeze keeping temps/dews at nice levels here in town. Low 70's currently (upper 60's on the shoreline) with dews in the low 60's at 2 pm.

Batch of showers moved through here this morning. Expecting svr wx later this aftrn-eve, and could get a little nasty. Highs in the low 80's with upper 70's near the shore of the Lake. Stratus deck currently, but should break in a while. The stms in S MN keeping a cloud deck over the Cities. If that continues, might interfere with development for them later. Update: Sun starting to break through just as I posted this.

Up to the upper 50's right now. Hazy overcast with the sun trying it's best to break through. If it does, a quick jump into the 60's before it wanes. Got around a quarter inch of rain. That'll help with tomorrow's stuff.

Almost 1 pm, and rain just ended. Temps still in the upper 40's with overcast skies. Sat showing clouds trying to hang for a while yet. Might get lucky in a couple hours and see some sun. What a cold June day so far.

OT here, but I think this could be a very interesting piece of research down the road for wx/climate studies. How light itself can evaporate water. https://news.mit.edu/2024/how-light-can-vaporize-water-without-heat-0423 Paper https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2320844121

Time for summer. It's short enough up here as it is. As I mentioned in my Holiday forecast thread, hints of Fall going to be showing up a little earlier this year. 75-85 with low 60's for dews is plenty. Band of showers moving through this morning with scattered thunder possible later today. E winds keeping temps in the 60's today. SW winds tomorrow will feel nice.

Just took a couple minutes to look up temps at these stns. Stout chill for June 10. I-Falls 33 2nd (1st 32 1908/58), Hibbing 32 3rd, Brainerd(arpt) 41 5th, Duluth 39 T 5th.

Rain moving in tonight thru tomorrow, then much more summer like on Wed with a decent stm chance.

Chilly across the Northland this morning. Expecting 60's in town with a Lake breeze under sunny skies today.

Coming week looks better. Need warmer nights. That'll kick stuff into overdrive.

Fallish our way, while early summer firmly in the grasp for our southern neighbors. You are definitely on the chilly side, even more so than me.

Labor Day is a little early this year, and I'm looking for wet wx to start the weekend. By Monday, it should be a bit cooler, with scattered showers for some. Fallish pattern.

Senior Citizens day looks interesting. Generally fair, pleasant wx. Could be a hint of Fall in the air for some, and possibly a tropical entity affecting the SE US.

Friendship day in early Aug is looking rather warm with a threat of shwrs/stms. (Note: I accidently labeled July 28 as Friendship day when it's actually Parent's day. Made the correction.)

Prelim data in for May. Another warm month in the books, obviously. Spring plenty warm, as well. 5 & 10 yr trend charts shown respectively for May, and Spring. Been a few years since we've had a season that hovered around 2dK anom or better mark for our sub as a whole.

After a cool, cloudy day yesterday with gusty NW winds, and some scattered shwrs, should be a nice day around 70 on a dry W/NW wind. A chance of rain around sunrise tomorrow am, then scattered stuff in the aftrn possible.

A shit ton of buffalo chips keeping the prairie grasses nice, and robust. Herds of millions roaming the NA grasslands. What a sight that would have been.

0.72" from shwrs/stms yesterday into the overnight bringing monthly total up to 1.85". Looks to be a bit warmer today, at least in town, on a SW wind with temps hitting the lower 70's. More shwrs/stms on tap later this aftrn. Lilacs in bloom now, and my local greenhouse delivered my annuals yesterday, so those will need to get into the ground. Ash trees here on my block are finally very near full leaf. They're always the last.

Scattered stms moving in from the S ahead of the front. Fogbank on the lake with the warmer, humid air interacting with the cooler waters. Stronger downdrafts from stms love to push that fog inland on gusty winds this time of year, or it will get pulled in from the strong updrafts of approaching stms from the W.

Foggy am turned sunny midday. Temps running in the low 70's away from the Lake, but much cooler on the shoreline in the mid 50's with a lake wind E/NE at 15 mph. Upper 60's here at the house. Expecting a good chance of shwrs/stms later this evening into the night. Just a note: Geese moving heavy N the last few days. Guess they finally think it's good enough to head to CA.

Powerball chuckling at the warmer wx up here reminds me of a story published in our local paper about 25 yrs or so ago. The writer, Monica, had friends come up from TX, and stayed with her for about a week or so during the summer. Around mid July-early Aug, I believe We just so happened to have a heat wave come on with temps in the upper 80's-low 90's, with higher dews, which is unusually warm for here. A/C is not commonly used here in homes. Businesses, and vehicles have it, tho. Monica didn't have A/C, so the house stayed pretty darn warm, and she was using fans to stay cool as best as possible. She couldn't understand why they were complaining so much about the heat. Being from TX, they should be used to that by now, especially since it was a bit hotter there during the summer on a regular basis. When she asked, they said they lived in A/C cooled homes, and all businesses, and cars had A/C. So basically, they were not used to the heat because they never were in the heat that much. We tend to weather brief heat waves without A/C around here. Although, I did eventually buy a window unit for the hotter days. But I did understand how the TX folks felt. Back in my Army days in NJ, we would be pretty warm during the summer, and being fairly close to the ocean (about 5 miles inland), humidity stayed up. A/C was necessary to cool off. And I did my basic training in Ft. Sill, OK during the summer. That's in SW OK. Got pretty darn hot there, and being from up here, I was most definitely not used to that. The barracks did have A/C, but we were outside most of the day, except for indoor classes. Drank lots of water, and salt tabs when needed. So, believe it or not, I started getting used to heat. Having A/C cool downs at night were helpful, but my body could handle the daytime heat better once I became more acclimated. In early June 1989, I came home on leave for my sister's HS grad, and I was chilled because it was already very warm in NJ, and I was used to that already. It was 70's/50's here with lower humidity, with 80's/60's there with higher humidity. The N areas of our sub really are different, especially nearer the Lake.

Similar here. 79-80/62-63. Muggy day. Clouds cleared around midday, and temps started heading N pretty quick. Plenty of juice for more stms.

0.75" of rain last night into the early am hrs. 1.11" for a good start to the month. Avg is 4.23", so a way to go yet, and forecast looks decent for more significant opportunities. For May, ended with 3.88" (3.30" avg) with 2.12" falling on the 22nd. YTD through May is 10.61 (9.66" avg) so doing well there. Last year, starting in May, precip was pretty bleak until later in Sept. Doing better so far this year.

Just came across this article. A bit OT here, but thought it would shine some light on maybe why models these past months seemed really bad. And we might expect the same going forward, especially in the colder months. Just a note, article is from Australia, so don't let the summer of 2024 confuse you. https://www.sciencealert.com/giant-tonga-volcanic-eruption-could-disrupt-weather-for-years-to-come https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-022-01568-2 Note: Not looking to get into a climate change discussion here, just the effects on modelling, and possible wx impacts for us going forward.