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Everything posted by Brian D
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Temps in the mid 50's with cloudy skies, and scattered showers in the area this morning. Lots of rain/stms on tap in the coming days for the W Lakes region.
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2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Brian D replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Here's the rating and paths on the confirmed tornados. EF0's & EF2's. -
Yeah, did here, too, as I posted in the other thread. Lake air still got a chill yet.
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I can see why the temps are like that with the setup it's got. Clouds n rain with a long fetch wind off the Lake from HP NE of the Lake. Lake air is chilly in the midst of Lake Superior during June into July.
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Lake breeze kicked in a little more, and dropped temps into the mid 60's. Even well inland.
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That's just plain UGLY my way. Wow!
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Currently low-mid 70's with a light Lake breeze at 11 am. Upper 50's for dews. Very nice mid morning. Catching some rays out on the deck. Had been looking at my own modelling method a bit more closely, and this pattern coming up will be around a bit more frequently for the next month or so. Get ready for lots of hot days in the S sub, and frequent rains for the W & N sub. Flooding could be a big threat during the 1st half of July up this way. Derechos not out of the question for the sub.
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Seasonable, and decent chances at rain for the next week on my side of the Big Pond. Today Sunny, with a high near 68. East wind around 5 mph. Tonight Partly cloudy, with a low around 49. Northeast wind around 5 mph. Saturday A 20 percent chance of showers after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 69. Light northeast wind becoming east 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Saturday Night Showers likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 10pm. Low around 54. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Sunday A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Sunday Night A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. South wind around 5 mph becoming west after midnight. Monday A chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Monday Night Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Northeast wind around 5 mph. Tuesday Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. East wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Tuesday Night A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Juneteenth A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73. West wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph. Wednesday Night A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. West wind around 5 mph becoming north after midnight. Thursday A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 70. East wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
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2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Brian D replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
NWS DLH has put up a report with an early summary of the tornado events. Even tho the stm report map had no events signified, there were tornadoes. https://www.weather.gov/dlh/june122024severe -
Had some scattered showers this afternoon, but we did reach the low 80's here. Dews around 50, so very pleasant.
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Going to be a nice day with breezy W winds, and temps around 80. Tornado warned cells yesterday have no reports of funnel/tornado activity on the stm report map. Some wind damage reports though.
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2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Brian D replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Stms my way got "Pac-Man'd" by the Lake. Stms coming in drew in cold lake air. Temps around 60 now. -
2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Brian D replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
SW of Duluth has a nasty warned cell. Good tornado sig there. Same with the one in the lower left near Brainerd. -
2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Brian D replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Current hail reports running 1-2" so far. -
2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Brian D replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
BWCA has a strong cell that's Tornado warned. Bad place to get caught in that. Lots of campers right now in that area. Radar dbz 70+ with the core of the cell, and a hook sig off the SW edge. -
Temps in town running mid 70's with dews in the low 60's. W of here temps low 80's with dews mid-upper 60's. Plenty of fuel for svr stms heading this way in a couple hrs.
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2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Brian D replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Svr stms popping to my W with strong hail sigs. Couple hrs, and they should be on my doorstep. -
Cleared off nicely. Been out soaking up some rays on the deck. Very light lake breeze keeping temps/dews at nice levels here in town. Low 70's currently (upper 60's on the shoreline) with dews in the low 60's at 2 pm.
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Batch of showers moved through here this morning. Expecting svr wx later this aftrn-eve, and could get a little nasty. Highs in the low 80's with upper 70's near the shore of the Lake. Stratus deck currently, but should break in a while. The stms in S MN keeping a cloud deck over the Cities. If that continues, might interfere with development for them later. Update: Sun starting to break through just as I posted this.
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Up to the upper 50's right now. Hazy overcast with the sun trying it's best to break through. If it does, a quick jump into the 60's before it wanes. Got around a quarter inch of rain. That'll help with tomorrow's stuff.
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Almost 1 pm, and rain just ended. Temps still in the upper 40's with overcast skies. Sat showing clouds trying to hang for a while yet. Might get lucky in a couple hours and see some sun. What a cold June day so far.
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OT here, but I think this could be a very interesting piece of research down the road for wx/climate studies. How light itself can evaporate water. https://news.mit.edu/2024/how-light-can-vaporize-water-without-heat-0423 Paper https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2320844121
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Time for summer. It's short enough up here as it is. As I mentioned in my Holiday forecast thread, hints of Fall going to be showing up a little earlier this year. 75-85 with low 60's for dews is plenty. Band of showers moving through this morning with scattered thunder possible later today. E winds keeping temps in the 60's today. SW winds tomorrow will feel nice.
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Just took a couple minutes to look up temps at these stns. Stout chill for June 10. I-Falls 33 2nd (1st 32 1908/58), Hibbing 32 3rd, Brainerd(arpt) 41 5th, Duluth 39 T 5th.
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Rain moving in tonight thru tomorrow, then much more summer like on Wed with a decent stm chance.