Brian D

Just looking at SWE of this system, Monday's snow was really wet. There was a little rn mixed in between 2-4 am (couple hundreths). TH co-op data: 2024-03-25 0.69 7.5 7 31 26 2024-03-26 0.55 2.0 8 33 27 2024-03-27 0.37 4.0 10 27 16

The storyboard switched to a new one. LOL Best save them, and open in Paint, and resave as GIF. I do that with all large pic files to upload them here.

I reported in during the event, and ended with 14" here in TH. Co-op observer had 13.5". Higher totals just outside town in the hills. There was a 21.2" report N of town yesterday, If they give an update, should be around 24-25". Very much needed this.

Snow is slowly winding down now. Radar showing the E fetch turning from the N. Looks like 4-5" on the deck, but it has drifted some.

Snowing really good now. Radar showing increasing dbz along the North Shore.

The daily data shown at MRCC from Oct 1863-April 1864 is robust. Nothing missing. 16.6" is the final value for the season.

10" yesterday imby, and we got a little rn last night before the band turned to snow. A couple inches of powder, and snowin good atm. Told my grandson a couple months ago, watch, it'll snow a lot in the Spring if we don't get much over Winter. Lookin at totals from yesterday, a pretty good swath of 12-17" along the North Shore. Add today's snow, when all said n done, I'd say a pretty good storm.

Heavier snow band blossomed right over the head of the lake with moisture feed coming in from the S/SW. Radar looks anemic, then the lake air interaction causes a blow up of snow. That's enhancement for ya.

Radar really chunky right now. Heavier band moved through, and could be a bit more heavier stuff with what I see coming up from the Twin Cities around sunset or so. Unless the temps rise enough for a mix/rn scenario.

With 7" imby this morning, another 3"+ has accum since then with a a good size band heading my way again in a couple hrs.

7-9" along the shore here, and yes, heavy, wet stuff. Forecast has snow to rain during the night here then transition back to light snow later tomorrow. Looks like some heavier bands are working their way north towards my area. Should be here in a couple hours. Forecast looks ok so far. I think we'll hit min guidance, but epic fail on winds. Gusts to 25 about it.

Have about the same here, and stronger returns are starting to move my way.

Lighter snows so far, have now turned into a steady snow. Grass is getting covered. Winds still light. Snow totals have been scaled back by 1-2", 12-18" instead of 14-19", and winds have been as well. Expecting up to 45 mph, instead of 50-55 mph. That's ok, as less of a chance for power outages. So we'll see how well the new forecast pans.

Latest for my neck of the woods. Blizzard warning issued already along North Shore. A mix is possible Monday aftrn, and winds should start to slackin then too, as LP gets closer. Now lets see if this big dog produces. Southern Lake-Southern Cook- Including the cities of Two Harbors, Silver Bay, and Grand Marais 335 AM CDT Sat Mar 23 2024 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 7 PM CDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of 14 to 19 inches and ice accumulations of around two tenths of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph.

NWS DLH putting up their storyboard this morning for the potential next Monday. Basically a month's worth of snow in one shot for most of MN, and N WI. And for some, could be a top 5 ending to the month.

Yeah, this last season was flipped from then.

Looks like your being dry slotted now. Well, I say "Don't count your chicks before they hatch". Models, and reality are 2 separate things.

MSP could end up with a top 5 snowiest March if the 2 (possibly 3) systems put out decently by Easter. If not MSP, some of the other stns across S MN sure could. 40.0 - 1951 37.1 - 1965 36.8 - 1985 29.9 - 1917 25.6 - 1940

Forecast discussion out of NWS DLH. Expecting a good ol' fashioned blizzard here on the North Shore. The main feature of the forecast is the expansive Colorado Low that is progged to arrive late Sunday and linger through early Wednesday. Latest guidance has pushed the arrival back several hours, and maybe decreased the overall QPF from the system a bit, but this still appears like it will be a significant system with long periods of heavy QPF in a cold air mass with strong northeast winds off of Lake Superior. I would expect blizzard conditions to develop along the North Shore with winds gusting to 45 to 50 mph in heavy snow. In terms of ensemble spread, the floor or minimum amounts of snow expected with this system are quite high at 6 to 9" over the most populated areas of our forecast area, the ceiling or maximum amount of snowfall expected are also quite high with over 2 feet possible (some locations may approach 30")!

They change there clocks over there at the end of March. So after Easter, they should be in sync with others.

As for Winter 2023/24, it's currently 3rd by the slimmest of margins behind 1931/32. 1931/32 (4.479) & 2023/24 (4.459*). Once all Feb data comes in, we'll see how that goes. 5 & 10 year trend charts shown respectively.

It's the first day of Spring, so I thought it would be good to wrap up Winter data. Some data has yet to come in, but that is nothing unusual. Agencies report when they report. Feb 2024 is currently running in 2nd behind 1998 by a couple tenths. 1998 (6.074) & 2024 (5.803*) This will change when all data comes in later. How much is yet to be seen. 5 & 10 year trend charts shown respectively.

The way I see it, when those legs spread.....GAME ON!

A longer stretch of a false Spring, followed by wintry wx can cause serious damage. Wait and see I guess.

Decent forecast, but the energy in the S is a bit more south, and the timing is off by a day.