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IronTy

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Everything posted by IronTy

  1. Woof, it's been non-stop tropical rain down here in southern Calvert, still going heavy. Need to get this boundary past us!
  2. IronTy

    Winter 2021-22

    It doesn't matter how much you really know. As long as you link it to 2009 you're good in my book.
  3. IronTy

    Winter 2021-22

    We really need more analysis like this to walk us back from the ledge.
  4. Well now with the progged cold snap into early October you can stick a fork in winter. It's over.
  5. If we can pull off a torch for September, October AND November you know what that means...December to Remember. It's all starting to fall in place...
  6. IronTy

    Winter 2021-22

    Bastardi is all over a cold start to winter. With december anomalies below avg based on his analog pkgs. Not sure how I should hedge that.
  7. Sunrise this morning was epic, that must've been why.
  8. IronTy

    Winter 2021-22

    So is winter back on?
  9. IronTy

    Winter 2021-22

    Yeah we've moved on to winter 22-23, somebody needs to start a thread.
  10. IronTy

    Winter 2021-22

    It can happen...December-2009, #NeverForget
  11. IronTy

    Winter 2021-22

    I'll tell you what, if there's an early start to winter and it gets cold for November and December I'd expect a pretty big natural gas spike. We're already flirting with the highest sustained prices since the GFC, will be interesting to watch electricity and heating prices going into winter.
  12. It's been dump'n on and off all day. Please baby Jesus is it too much to ask for just ONE day like this in the winter with highs below freezing? All I want is one day per year, that's all I ask.
  13. IronTy

    Winter 2021-22

    ACE, grass or gas. Nobody rides for free.
  14. IronTy

    Winter 2021-22

    Weird, so a moderate F3 tornado could have a computed energy higher than hurricane Katrina. Of course the comparison is a bit disingenuous since they're not the same thing and a hurricane lasts far longer than a tornado. Still, ACE seems rather simplistic in the computer age, at least to me.
  15. IronTy

    Winter 2021-22

    Does ACE take into account the size of the storm too? Seems like a 100mph hurricane with 30mi windfield would be a lot less energy than one with a 100mi windfield.
  16. IronTy

    Winter 2021-22

    IDK, I've got a truckload of Camellias that are 10+ft tall and they've been growing for 13yrs. Short of Yellowstone erupting, an asteroid strike (or low solar...?) I think they're safe. At this point just be happy with a few January nights where the ground freezes.
  17. IronTy

    Winter 2021-22

    Yeah but like last year think of all the d10 kuchera snowmaps the blocking will produce.
  18. 0.4" rain overnight, wasn't expecting that. At least it's cooler because my $10k new fancy HVAC crapped out yesterday.
  19. Sun out in calvert cty too. Wind has picked up quite a bit since this morning.
  20. Ominous looking overcast skies and breezes here this morning...
  21. I think it was last summer, there was a gator loose in southern calvert county and some local came in with a crossbow and killed it. Personally I say bring on the gators, maybe they would help with the deer overpopulation?
  22. Alligator may be in St. Mary's County, official says | Local | somdnews.com Walker would not disclose the location of the lake, citing public safety. “It’s fairly close to a residential area,” he said. “We don’t want 87 rednecks going in there and trying to shoot up the area,” Edwards said. “It’s going to a preserve in Florida.”
  23. Apparently it is very wily and whenever they see it the thing books outta there. Same story says they are trying to catch it and then release it down in Florida.
  24. I read in the local paper that the authorities aren't releasing exactly where it's been spotted because "they don't want a bunch of rednecks" (actual quote) converging on the area trying to shoot up the place. SoMD....
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