MN Transplant

2 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Looks like a split between MD north and central VA south as per radar evolution…

This was a PA show all along, with some northern MD areas also cashing in.

11 minutes ago, BlizzardNole said:

A rainfall map showing the stark differences in totals in our region from June 1 thru end of today will be unbelievable.

Mostly cloudy and humid as I did some gardening work.  I'll be running the sprinklers tomorrow morning

On 7/7/2023 at 12:23 PM, WxUSAF said:

Hush you!

My Twins are now 45-45 with the 6th best run differential in baseball.  Argh.

Pretty cool watching the Arlington cell.  The flow that would otherwise be pushing the cells to the east is balanced by the outflow to the west which keeps kicking up feeder cells.

12 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Dumping under that cell in Arlington. Fairly noisy too.

FFW.  Radar already has nearly 2” just west of the Cemetery.

6 hours ago, CAPE said:

The Os needed a game like that. Now go take 2 of 3 in Minnesota heading into the break.

5 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

Yup. Win this next series and that’s a lot of positive momentum. 

Nah, a fresh losing streak for the Os would be fine with me.

Takeoffs from DCA are diverting because that McLean cell is right in the normal path.  A wide swing to LaGuardia.

49 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Already hearing thunder in Courthouse.

That cell in McLean is loud

Raining again.  Ended up with 1.90” yesterday, but another spot just south of me was over 3”.

1.83” and still coming down.  Mattie - a little tentacle headed towards you.

4 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

Yup, right on the north side of that cell.  This is the best T&L the entire year so far.

Up to an inch already.  Good stuff.

1 minute ago, mattie g said:

Yup.

MN must be getting hammered right now.

Yup, right on the north side of that cell.  This is the best T&L the entire year so far.

Fireworks 

1.03” with the late evenings storms.  Over 4” since mid-June.  That helps.

8 minutes ago, Moosey2323 said:

SPC Mesoanalysis shows > 3500 SBCAPE and > 30 kts of bulk shear. Are we just failing to get a reliable lifting mechanism? That little boundary that passed through seemed to act as one, but the cells still had trouble surviving.

We often blame mid-level lapse rates, and today seems to be no exception.

5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Strange looking radar the past 20 minutes or so. Regardless of exactly why, seems like these storms are struggling to take off

These cells just couldn’t maintain.  I was in a good spot and got 0.09”.  It clearly isn’t unstable enough right now.

1 minute ago, Terpeast said:

Reporting from fairfax, decent downpour with gusts, but no severe characteristics 

Same.  Just a shower.

2 minutes ago, Moosey2323 said:

Did these cells form off an outflow boundary? Seeing something like one on Radarscope.

Definitely a boundary.  Not sure what the source was.

59 minutes ago, pazzo83 said:

87/78 here - DC showin up

Yeah, straight up disgusting outside.  Officially 87/76 at DCA

1 hour ago, high risk said:

Sign me up for today's 12Z HRRR.       Round 1 with severe chances later this afternoon, round 2 of noisy storms late tonight, and round 3 with severe chances later tomorrow.

Most of the CAMs are bullish for later today.    While mid-level lapse rates aren't awesome, they're sufficient, and the deep-layer shear is seasonably strong.   Could be a decent coverage of wind reports.    HRRR is an outlier for the late night MCS, so I'll assume for now that it's unlikely.     Shear isn't as strong Monday afternoon, so SVR would be more scattered, but the shear looks to still be sufficient for storm organization.

I like the UH signature right through the DC Beltway on the 12z NAM nest.

Pouring here, but looks brief.  Still better than drought.

54 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

O’s offense is completely MIA. Lately either the pitching sucks when the team is hitting or the pitching is great but they can’t hit for shit. 

1 run with 12 Ks for the Twins.  We’ll see Duran vs the top of the Os lineup.  The Twins do have one of the best pitching staffs in the league.  The hitting, not so good.

41 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Fingers crossed!!

5 Ks through 3 with no guys past second base.  On pace!

8 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

Woof. Glad I didn’t stay up and watch the O’s last night.

I was bummed I didn't make the trip up!  Don't worry, the Twins will strike out 15 times this afternoon and not get a guy beyond 2nd base.

Ha, stick save