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MN Transplant

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by MN Transplant

  1. 18z NAM Nest says I get more rain in 6 hours from 00z to 06z Friday (~2.5") than the 18z GFS run through Saturday (<2").
  2. Another 95 at home, making it the 23rd occurrence of 2024.
  3. It is thick out there this morning. DPs in the mid-70s. Gross.
  4. Sitting at 3.10" for the summer. I could get 5" of rain this week and still be at the lowest summer-to-date total in my 10 years of CoCoRahs obs.
  5. The broad brush of the models is similar. Misses the Tues/Wed shallow trough and meanders near the GA/SC coast and then interacts with the second trough later in the week which pulls it north. How exactly it interacts with the second trough and how deep the trough digs affects our chances for heavy rain. The Euro is risky because it is a very shallow trough that shunts the storm off before it is able to climb too much. Obviously the ICON is on the opposite side.
  6. There has been little indication of a hit up here, so that it probably not worth being hyped about. What we really want is for the tropical moisture to get banked up against a front.
  7. Looks like you are getting a bonus cell this evening. Much better coverage overall than most days this summer.
  8. Going to end up around 0.70”, which will be the highest daily report since early April
  9. Very impressed with the outflow. The winds are loud in the trees. Radar is optimistic with the storms firing from Fairfax to Manassas.
  10. Side note, Leeds Manor is one of the best drives in the state.
  11. Some upper 70s pixels on the Sterling velocity scan as it crosses 50 between Middleburg and Aldie.
  12. Yeah, that one has some nasty velocities on radar.
  13. 12z GFS has this hang around and not clear the East coast until a week from Sunday
  14. Not sure why I even bother opening RadarScope
  15. Official highs DCA: 99 IAD: 101 (record) BWI: 100 (record)
  16. And there’s your record-breaking 100 at BWI.
  17. A clean 100 on the hourly at IAD. I’ve been bouncing between 98/99 depending on the sun ducking in and out of the clouds.
  18. No 5-minute obs of 100 yet. DCA got a little westerly component to the wind and went immediately to 98.
  19. Trough misses it. Interesting solution in that the front that comes down with the trough to us on Wednesday just kind of hangs out, with an onshore flow for the rest of the week. Certainly would help with temps.
  20. Highs as of 2pm: DCA: 95 on a stiff river wind IAD: 99 BWI: 98 Heat indices as high as 107/108
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