It looked to me like the Canadian northern piece of energy was digging a bit more in the past 2 runs. If that trend continues, then you may get your wish.
2.6 inches from ( average of 2 measurements flat surface) 4 miles northeast of RDU at 12:43 am. I’m thinking storm total of 2.9 inches given the back edge will move through in the next 0.7 hours.
We live 4 miles NE of RDU and really didn’t transition to rain in that December event plus got 2 more the next day for a total of 10 plus. My oldest son was at NCSU at the time and only got like 3 .
Big Weather did not blink but Mike is leaning with the most recent trends. Hopefully the GFS comes in line with the European. If all we are looking at is tomorrow night, I’m hoping for a surprise 1-1.5 “ just to have something to work with.