Jump to content

Leesville Wx Hawk

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    232

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Leesville Wx Hawk

  1. Leesville Wx Hawk
    30 inches is a bit too much snow to me. The thing is that a storm is entirely possible now given the blocking is currently forecasted on the ensembles. .
  2. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Does it show the Wake County gradient?
  3. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Well the cats out of the bag now. I hinted before 0z came out.
  4. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Blue horseshoe does like that time period for frozen precipitation in the Raleigh Durham area. I can’t disclose my external source beyond the EPS because synoptic setup not quite ideal yet but source is confident for some reason.
  5. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Aa Jethro Bodine once said: “ Where’s all the moon maidens?”
  6. Leesville Wx Hawk
    12z OP not raising spirits or glasses. Hopefully Ensembles keep hope alive and well.
  7. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Pretty obvious to most folks MET1985. Good job making your point clear.
  8. Leesville Wx Hawk
    It’s looking like there will be something to watch moving forward. .
  9. Leesville Wx Hawk
    GEFS NAO forecast showing it headed downward towards the end of 15 day period and visually looks to be headed that direction via 12Z GEFS towards end of run. Need ridge to pop out west and then you have a favorable synoptic set up say Feb 10 onward for a bit.
  10. Leesville Wx Hawk
    It looks to form too far offshore to me but it’s early. 18 z gfs not bad but not there either. Need it to dig slightly more and west.
  11. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Saw that and noticed the same thing. Who knows at this point? I personally hate dry cold like this so the warm up will be welcomed by me. Perhaps things turn around after that and if we get a beneficial SSW.event then we could turn the NAO -. Griteater may have to adjust his snow possibility meter for early February unless ensembles show signs of a true + PNA like we were hoping for.
  12. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Here’s where it looks like we are headed and this is important for our region. We finally should go positive PNA in about 2 weeks (typical in El Niño). We won’t have a -NAO but at least we have a better shot than this current gig (generally no bueno) . A SSW could help eventually turn NAO negative but that’s speculation at this time.
  13. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Need ridging in the west via Aleutian low (+PNA) so that cold air from Canada can move SE into our region. This should happen in about 2 weeks hopefully. 12 Z GEFS ensemble shows a ridge in the west that pushes the SE ridge. While not perfect, this is a better synoptic pattern for our region and something to follow moving forward.
  14. Leesville Wx Hawk
    12 Z GFS a little closer to coast with Miller B and Canadian a little further south. Temps marginal but higher rates may overcome before dynamics wane. It’s still a long shot but not impossible. it’s sad but at least we can track something. It’s our last chance for 2 weeks. We can only hope that positive PNA can save the day. The SE ridge may not be as much of a factor and we could possibly cash in.
  15. Leesville Wx Hawk
    I’ve been looking for this one to be our flizzard LOL. This looks to be a better shot for some of us on this forum. It did get the Wake County gradient so there is that.
  16. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Need Tony the great Romo instead!
  17. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Good luck Winston! We’ve got nothing working just north of RDU but would love to see a snow flurry! Perhaps Friday AM for our brief snow/rain mix?
  18. Leesville Wx Hawk
    0z NAM showing precipitation over northern NC Tuesday night for possibly some snow that could give a dusting by Wednesday AM. This was advertised earlier on an earlier GFS run today. Something to watch.
  19. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Can we swing that 50 miles south so that RDU gets over 1”?
  20. Leesville Wx Hawk
    12 Z op GFS is a DC crusher for Friday with most of us with cold rain. Who knows at this point but at least there’s a storm for someone to potentially monitor.
  21. Leesville Wx Hawk
    12 Z GFS has northern NC again for Tuesday night with some snow.
  22. Leesville Wx Hawk
    I would take that and walk away for myself but not a good hit for a lot of this forum.
  23. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Perhaps next weekend? Our last shot unless things turn around for Tuesday.
  24. Leesville Wx Hawk
    You are others not so much. .
  25. Leesville Wx Hawk
    0 Z Jan 20th has some snow in NC. Something to watch as it will already be cold enough when/ if precipitation arrives.
×
×
  • Create New...