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Leesville Wx Hawk

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Everything posted by Leesville Wx Hawk

  1. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Need ridging in the west via Aleutian low (+PNA) so that cold air from Canada can move SE into our region. This should happen in about 2 weeks hopefully. 12 Z GEFS ensemble shows a ridge in the west that pushes the SE ridge. While not perfect, this is a better synoptic pattern for our region and something to follow moving forward.
  2. Leesville Wx Hawk
    12 Z GFS a little closer to coast with Miller B and Canadian a little further south. Temps marginal but higher rates may overcome before dynamics wane. It’s still a long shot but not impossible. it’s sad but at least we can track something. It’s our last chance for 2 weeks. We can only hope that positive PNA can save the day. The SE ridge may not be as much of a factor and we could possibly cash in.
  3. Leesville Wx Hawk
    I’ve been looking for this one to be our flizzard LOL. This looks to be a better shot for some of us on this forum. It did get the Wake County gradient so there is that.
  4. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Need Tony the great Romo instead!
  5. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Good luck Winston! We’ve got nothing working just north of RDU but would love to see a snow flurry! Perhaps Friday AM for our brief snow/rain mix?
  6. Leesville Wx Hawk
    0z NAM showing precipitation over northern NC Tuesday night for possibly some snow that could give a dusting by Wednesday AM. This was advertised earlier on an earlier GFS run today. Something to watch.
  7. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Can we swing that 50 miles south so that RDU gets over 1”?
  8. Leesville Wx Hawk
    12 Z op GFS is a DC crusher for Friday with most of us with cold rain. Who knows at this point but at least there’s a storm for someone to potentially monitor.
  9. Leesville Wx Hawk
    12 Z GFS has northern NC again for Tuesday night with some snow.
  10. Leesville Wx Hawk
    I would take that and walk away for myself but not a good hit for a lot of this forum.
  11. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Perhaps next weekend? Our last shot unless things turn around for Tuesday.
  12. Leesville Wx Hawk
    You are others not so much. .
  13. Leesville Wx Hawk
    0 Z Jan 20th has some snow in NC. Something to watch as it will already be cold enough when/ if precipitation arrives.
  14. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Good to see you on here ILM! If Brick shows up, it will definitely be on.
  15. Leesville Wx Hawk
    I’ll take some smaller events and be okay. I’m not counting on the 16th but we can still get something before the pattern relaxes for a bit. We may even get a +PNA for a change in time.
  16. Leesville Wx Hawk
    I saw about 4-5 members looking interesting but it’s a long shot to pan for most of us. You never know.
  17. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Nobody excited about clipper at hour 300? RDU with a surprise 1-2” lol! I’ve seen it happen before with a low develop however and make it white.
  18. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Fat lady hasn’t started singing yet. 18z may give us hope. Ensembles still agree on cold press and that is key for us.
  19. Leesville Wx Hawk
    GEFS 12z looks good so far. Operational not so much as it hangs cold out west too long.
  20. Leesville Wx Hawk
    I was referring to the upcoming pattern not now so I definitely agree. A single event will work given that RDU has gone about 700 days now without accumulating snow. .
  21. Leesville Wx Hawk
    We have a real window of opportunity coming so I hope that we cash in before the pattern relaxes. GFS operational has been showing some long range digital winter weather.
  22. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Happy New Year to all on this forum! If you are on here, you are a trooper for sure LOL! May the GEFS lose the SER at 300 plus hours for a change!
  23. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Happy New Year! There will be chances later in the month as we get much colder presses down this far.
  24. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Perhaps for Greensboro, Roxboro and southern Va people on this forum.
  25. Leesville Wx Hawk
    Lock it in Josh! [emoji2956]
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