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Leesville Wx Hawk

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Everything posted by Leesville Wx Hawk

  1. GFS had the storm but a little later time frame due to the difference in timing. I’m a bit more worried about it following this scenario as opposed to getting right after it like the GEM and Euro have been indicating.
  2. CMC for the win! Icon not far off. 0z European hinting.
  3. The question is: What constitutes a win? Is it a general 2-4 inch event for a majority?
  4. EPS ensembles had a blocky -NAO look last time I checked. This period seems more synoptically favorable for RDU et al.
  5. Too rich. I’m 4 miles north of RDU so I would take 2.5 “of snow,.3 of sleet then a little ZR to a little bit of rain and call it a day. I think we miss out on backside accumulating snow but it would have been cool to pick up a quick 0.5-1” at the end.
  6. Every little shift to the east is a good thing. Thanks for the good insight per usual.
  7. You might be in decent shape BullCity if the 18z gfs pans or get s even better.
  8. I’m not blaming ya Brick! We had it seemingly wrapped up. Hope we can salvage something.
  9. I miss Greg “freaking “ Fishel right about now. He was great during Wibter storms in the Triangle.
  10. Not a good run for mby. that 1.5 inches would be lucky to get a decent ground cover if it verifies. Central Virginia looking good.
  11. 18 z RGEM has the Wake county gradient so should we assume that it is correct? It is worth noting that there has been a small northward shift in some of the models. Hopefully it will stop.
  12. Good point. The 18z NAM looked pretty good actually so that is encouraging.
  13. Thanks Programer. RDU still in the game there but not a perfect situation trend wise. It’s getting late in the game. Not sure if this gives more than 0.5-0.8 inches in reality if this is taken literally at RDU if we are looking at 6:1 with melting considered. At least I live 4-5 miles northeast of the airport so I have that working in my favor.
  14. Hopefully it was just a wobble. Can someone post the 18 z European output?
  15. 12z GFS still has a potential rain to accumulating snow scenario for northern NC/southern Virginia for late next week.
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