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Ahoff

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Everything posted by Ahoff

  1. Ahoff
    HRRR seems to have trended more west, for what it's worth. Really, it's not worth much at this point, as it's not our system, but maybe that bodes well for the season when we sit on an western edge. We'll see, or we'll get nothing all winter.
  2. Ahoff
    We're literally like 4-5" below average right now, not 20". We know crappy Decembers don't mean a crappy winter (see '14-'15. This is not a really snowy time of year normally anyway, I mean it is December the 10th, can we give it even a little bit of a chance at this point?
  3. Ahoff
    Eventually we'll get something. It likely won't be 2 feet, but a couple inches will come. Though some think it'll never snow again, lol.
  4. Ahoff
    Meanwhile the GFS 6z has 2 feet following by Christmas Day, lol.
  5. Ahoff
    Well, he showed an entire model run that backed it. Can’t remember which one he usually uses, so…
  6. Ahoff
    Ron Smiley seems bullish on a relatively extended period of fairly heavy snow Sunday afternoon into Monday morning.
  7. Ahoff
    You’re joking right? Places across Europe have seen a very early start and colder than normal start to winter. There is literally nothing to suggest that winter will never act like it again. Our time will come again. The hysterics are wild.
  8. Ahoff
    Even an inch would be nice, just to see the ground whiten up a little, before the bulk of winter sets in.
  9. Ahoff
    Way to be a downer, lol. At least something to watch at this point.
  10. Ahoff
    From things I’ve been seeing it seems the global models are trending toward are colder winter overall. Also it doesn’t seem like the El Niño is as strong as expected.
  11. Ahoff
    Very small flakes falling now.
  12. Ahoff
    Moving in the right direction.
  13. Ahoff
    Hailing at my house.
  14. Ahoff
    A few things we should all keep in mind as this season starts: -We will see plenty of fantasy range storms with 1'-2' for us. We should enjoy the maps, but know it's unlikely. -We should be thankful for anything that falls, even if it just nickel and dimes us all season. -We shouldn't hang on every run, and let it ruin our days. I'm at least telling myself this already, lol.
  15. Ahoff
    Agree. Looks like the models are trending towards a cooler second half of December. Hopefully, that is true. We’ll see.
  16. Ahoff
    Maybe something to watch on the 6th? GFS 12z run had about 4".
  17. Ahoff
    Early December rarely is good. Let’s get it out of the way and hope for better stuff in the latter parts of the month.
  18. Ahoff
    Officially the first morning in the teens. 19 this morning and .3” of snow yesterday.
  19. Ahoff
    Officially had .1" of snow yesterday, I expect we'll see some accumulation today, even though it will be miniscule.
  20. Ahoff
    Nice little burst of snow right now.
  21. Ahoff
    We still have December. Wouldn't be too worried yet. Let's get the cold weather in then we can get snow. Seems the biggest issue we have in our current pattern is it's too dry, but if cold outbreaks happen maybe we can get some lake effect. I mean it is only November 26th, give it a chance.
  22. Ahoff
    Maybe something Sunday into Monday? Edit: Maybe not, lol.
  23. Ahoff
    It’s unlikely to look like last year either, so that’s a win.
  24. Ahoff
    Still time to trend colder, these things fluctuate. But 2020 was a good winter, I’d take a repeat.
  25. Ahoff
    No it's weird for sure, but showing the temps around the area this morning, showed many different pockets of warm and cool air. Must have been cloudy in certain areas. It made much more sense than seeing a few weeks ago, everywhere around 32 except KPIT at 37.
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