You can see they expect bands from the lakes by the look of the map. Should be changes and maybe surprises in some places.
Accuweather going with 1-3" at 66% chance.
HRRR seems to have trended more west, for what it's worth. Really, it's not worth much at this point, as it's not our system, but maybe that bodes well for the season when we sit on an western edge. We'll see, or we'll get nothing all winter.
We're literally like 4-5" below average right now, not 20". We know crappy Decembers don't mean a crappy winter (see '14-'15. This is not a really snowy time of year normally anyway, I mean it is December the 10th, can we give it even a little bit of a chance at this point?
You’re joking right? Places across Europe have seen a very early start and colder than normal start to winter. There is literally nothing to suggest that winter will never act like it again. Our time will come again. The hysterics are wild.
From things I’ve been seeing it seems the global models are trending toward are colder winter overall. Also it doesn’t seem like the El Niño is as strong as expected.
A few things we should all keep in mind as this season starts:
-We will see plenty of fantasy range storms with 1'-2' for us. We should enjoy the maps, but know it's unlikely.
-We should be thankful for anything that falls, even if it just nickel and dimes us all season.
-We shouldn't hang on every run, and let it ruin our days.
I'm at least telling myself this already, lol.