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Ahoff

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Everything posted by Ahoff

  1. Ahoff
    FWIW, SREF plumes up around 4”.
  2. Ahoff
    They’re up from .1” to 1.5”, so that’s something I guess.
  3. Ahoff
    Potential westward shift in snow amounts and minor impacts from this weekend's system are trending further west with the latest model guidance. We'll continue to evaluate through the day today. From KPIT, about as good as you’ll get from them.
  4. Ahoff
    That improved big for me. I definitely don’t see that though.
  5. Ahoff
    To be clear, I’m not writing off the year, I’m just not going to care.
  6. Ahoff
    This one’s dead I guess. I don’t think I’m even going to get invested in anymore this year. Whatever happens happens. I can’t worry about these types of things. I’ll check in, but that’s it. It’ll snow again one day, who knows when though.
  7. Ahoff
    FWIW, Bernie Rayno is leaning more towards Euro and CMC solution. That’s our best hope. I guess it’s better to have the Euro on our side?
  8. Ahoff
    This does suck. Unfortunately, when I saw the bad run yesterday afternoon, it was the death knell. Once that shows up there usually is little hope or chance left. The bright side is we can only go up for this storm if that happens. It just seems every time these storms start getting noticed by the news and websites they up and die off. Frustrating, but nothing we can do. On to the next.
  9. Ahoff
    Maybe more north from this recent bad, southern runs, lol. That might get us 6+.
  10. Ahoff
    I heard he was saying we were in the possible zone for over 6”, however that was before the most recent runs. Maybe, this is as bad as the models look for us and we have positive corrections from here. That’s all we can do is hope.
  11. Ahoff
    That’s okay. I appreciate the response. Just looking for a glimmer of hope out of that awful run, lol. Still, it was just one run. I’m looking for just a few inches, hopefully that’s still on the table.
  12. Ahoff
    Yeah, GFS ensemble. I meant hopefully future runs are better, not more from the 18z.
  13. Ahoff
    Or worse now, TimB.
  14. Ahoff
    What's your take on the GFS with its handling here? Are the other models more consistent, relatively speaking? I know consistency isn't accuracy, but jumping around can't be too positive either. How has the GFS been at this range?
  15. Ahoff
    Yeah, we'll have to see if that keeps appearing. GFS can be weird, hopefully this is one of those times.
  16. Ahoff
    Yeah, that's a bad run, but it's only one that's that bad. Lets hope it's an outlier and that the start of a trend.
  17. Ahoff
    Wow, that 18z GFS run is a hard blow. Luckily, its only one run, so hopefully it was a one off, bad run and not the start of a trend.
  18. Ahoff
    Accuweather’s first point and click totals are about 3-7”. I don’t think we can be upset at that.
  19. Ahoff
    Still not bad. Down across the board for everyone.
  20. Ahoff
    Looking even better than before. NWS is fairly confident at this point.
  21. Ahoff
    This is a storm I’m wondering about. Seems there’s some expectation that hotter air funnels in around the 16th. Could this storm be the true kicker to get it in and stick that pattern here for a while? Too early to tell, but interesting.
  22. Ahoff
    Looking good still, and a little surprising for a time period that is showing a potential cutter.
  23. Ahoff
    Isn’t too early to worry about the one’s after the 9-10th at this point?
  24. Ahoff
    Newest GFS looked pretty good.
  25. Ahoff
    Positive
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