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Ahoff

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Everything posted by Ahoff

  1. Ahoff
    FWIW, Bernie Rayno is leaning more towards Euro and CMC solution. That’s our best hope. I guess it’s better to have the Euro on our side?
  2. Ahoff
    This does suck. Unfortunately, when I saw the bad run yesterday afternoon, it was the death knell. Once that shows up there usually is little hope or chance left. The bright side is we can only go up for this storm if that happens. It just seems every time these storms start getting noticed by the news and websites they up and die off. Frustrating, but nothing we can do. On to the next.
  3. Ahoff
    Maybe more north from this recent bad, southern runs, lol. That might get us 6+.
  4. Ahoff
    I heard he was saying we were in the possible zone for over 6”, however that was before the most recent runs. Maybe, this is as bad as the models look for us and we have positive corrections from here. That’s all we can do is hope.
  5. Ahoff
    That’s okay. I appreciate the response. Just looking for a glimmer of hope out of that awful run, lol. Still, it was just one run. I’m looking for just a few inches, hopefully that’s still on the table.
  6. Ahoff
    Yeah, GFS ensemble. I meant hopefully future runs are better, not more from the 18z.
  7. Ahoff
    Or worse now, TimB.
  8. Ahoff
    What's your take on the GFS with its handling here? Are the other models more consistent, relatively speaking? I know consistency isn't accuracy, but jumping around can't be too positive either. How has the GFS been at this range?
  9. Ahoff
    Yeah, we'll have to see if that keeps appearing. GFS can be weird, hopefully this is one of those times.
  10. Ahoff
    Yeah, that's a bad run, but it's only one that's that bad. Lets hope it's an outlier and that the start of a trend.
  11. Ahoff
    Wow, that 18z GFS run is a hard blow. Luckily, its only one run, so hopefully it was a one off, bad run and not the start of a trend.
  12. Ahoff
    Accuweather’s first point and click totals are about 3-7”. I don’t think we can be upset at that.
  13. Ahoff
    Still not bad. Down across the board for everyone.
  14. Ahoff
    Looking even better than before. NWS is fairly confident at this point.
  15. Ahoff
    This is a storm I’m wondering about. Seems there’s some expectation that hotter air funnels in around the 16th. Could this storm be the true kicker to get it in and stick that pattern here for a while? Too early to tell, but interesting.
  16. Ahoff
    Looking good still, and a little surprising for a time period that is showing a potential cutter.
  17. Ahoff
    Isn’t too early to worry about the one’s after the 9-10th at this point?
  18. Ahoff
    Newest GFS looked pretty good.
  19. Ahoff
    Positive
  20. Ahoff
    Usually how it is anyway. They get bigger overall storms, just less instances of snow.
  21. Ahoff
    Wonder how this will fail? I'm sure we'll hear soon.
  22. Ahoff
    That looks great.
  23. Ahoff
    This isn’t uncommon or unexpected. I can’t imagine there was ever a storm where the models stayed exactly the same for over a week. Plenty of time for better trends. No reason not to still be hopeful, unless your TimB. He stays negative.
  24. Ahoff
    https://www.accuweather.com/en/winter-weather/major-winter-storm-brewing-with-snow-ice-and-rain-to-blast-northeast/1608380 Accuweather talking about it.
  25. Ahoff
    He can't be contained, lol. Security must be lacking lately.
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