Ahoff

We got 89-ed, but that was a surprise. With tomorrow forecasted to be warmer, maybe we hit 90.

Yeah, June looked warm to start, then tanked. And if the belief is smoke continues to pour down here below average looks like a better bet to me.

Update to this. Summer 2009 had a below average June and July and an exactly average August. But 2004 was the last year that each summer month was below the averages.

Wonder if we have a wall to wall cool summer? Must be a while since that happened.

Just really strange. Four weeks of more likely below average turns out above average for the month, lol.

CPC's most recently monthly outlook for July (released June 30), has higher chances of above average temperatures for July. Every other extended outlook (6-10 day, 8-14 day, and 3-4 week out to July 28th) has higher chance of below normal temps. How can they be that at odds with themselves? No fear though, they are locked into rainier than normal for the month on every outlook.

Honestly, looks possible, lol.

Yeah, really laughable how poorly this smoke and weather pattern was forecast. Wish we could get that drought weather back, but alas we’ll probably have a top ten wet July, just because, lol.

78 will be pretty tough today. Wonder why forecasts insist on staying there if smoke will stay this thick?

Yeah, I'm over this smoke, lol. Isn't any rain getting to these wildfires, since it seems Canada has no interest in stopping them?

Yeah, has not been warm this month.

Could be one of the coldest June highs in a few years. Edit: Nevermind. Temps seemed sluggish earlier, lol.

Yesterday's low of 66 has been the warmest of the year so far. Sunday night is forecast for a 66 degree low. If that stays as the warmest low for the month it will be since 2006 the highest low in June was that cool. Possible we do it too. Also, May's warmest low was 60 that's the coolest maximum low in May since 2005.

The CPC extended outlooks, don’t look that great. Cool and rainier. We’ll see though.

Long term, the CPC says the drought persists through September. Looks dry, temps will be a question I guess. But if we stay in a drought, temps should rise higher, despite the trough, but fall lower at night.

I was referring to the poster saying it was possible we'd see a cut off low sit over us for possibly up to a month and produce enough rain to make up the large deficit we are in. If it does that, then the summer will be shitty. So far, it's been beautiful. If we have small interludes of cool and rain, like the past week, and long stretches of dry and warm, I'll be happy. Never said I wanted humidity, have always been against it, so this is a great summer. A little cooler than I'd like, but won't complain if it's mostly sunny. Do wish the smoke would stop though, that's been ruining a few clear days for sure.

What's the difference between the Euro IFS HREs and the Euro IFS? I mean , one's high res, and the other isn't, but they are pretty different, at least temperature wise through next week.

Gross day out there. This month looks like it'll end up below normal as well.

I believe it can happen, and bet it will, lol.

It'll be a shitty summer then. Great.

I'm exaggerating a bit. I don't think it will be 60 everyday, but frequent 60s and rain into the end of the month would really put a damper on the start of summer.

After an historic stretch of dry weather, we are (were) nearly 5" below average for precip. I'm not sure I remember a time being that far behind. Hope there is some quick pattern shakeup and we aren't stuck with 60 degrees and rainy the remainder of the month. That would be epically bad.

Smelled it a bit last night too.

Which is wild. Right in between the two (actually pretty near AGC) I saw like maybe a 10 minute shower.

We'll see, I'm seeing only 20% this morning. Almost no rain has been able to materialize on these chances. Either way, this was a remarkable dry streak. Does anyone know what percentage these wildfires are contained up in Canada? The smoke and haze are getting a bit old.