Ahoff

The CPC extended outlooks, don’t look that great. Cool and rainier. We’ll see though.

Long term, the CPC says the drought persists through September. Looks dry, temps will be a question I guess. But if we stay in a drought, temps should rise higher, despite the trough, but fall lower at night.

I was referring to the poster saying it was possible we'd see a cut off low sit over us for possibly up to a month and produce enough rain to make up the large deficit we are in. If it does that, then the summer will be shitty. So far, it's been beautiful. If we have small interludes of cool and rain, like the past week, and long stretches of dry and warm, I'll be happy. Never said I wanted humidity, have always been against it, so this is a great summer. A little cooler than I'd like, but won't complain if it's mostly sunny. Do wish the smoke would stop though, that's been ruining a few clear days for sure.

What's the difference between the Euro IFS HREs and the Euro IFS? I mean , one's high res, and the other isn't, but they are pretty different, at least temperature wise through next week.

Gross day out there. This month looks like it'll end up below normal as well.

I believe it can happen, and bet it will, lol.

It'll be a shitty summer then. Great.

I'm exaggerating a bit. I don't think it will be 60 everyday, but frequent 60s and rain into the end of the month would really put a damper on the start of summer.

After an historic stretch of dry weather, we are (were) nearly 5" below average for precip. I'm not sure I remember a time being that far behind. Hope there is some quick pattern shakeup and we aren't stuck with 60 degrees and rainy the remainder of the month. That would be epically bad.

Smelled it a bit last night too.

Which is wild. Right in between the two (actually pretty near AGC) I saw like maybe a 10 minute shower.

We'll see, I'm seeing only 20% this morning. Almost no rain has been able to materialize on these chances. Either way, this was a remarkable dry streak. Does anyone know what percentage these wildfires are contained up in Canada? The smoke and haze are getting a bit old.

Currently, tied for 26th longest dry streak at 17 days. After today we hit 18 and move to a tie for 21st. If we make it through Saturday, like expected we should move to 21 days and tied for 9th longest ever and top ten most dry days in a row.

Seems kind of odd that Canada has so many fires, yet I've heard nothing about any western US fires. Is that weird, or am I just disconnected? I really don't remember being this affected (smoke-wise) by Canadian wildfires.

Looks like that damn smoke will be keeping us cooler than expected this week. Was pretty thick for a time yesterday and looks to start pretty thick today.

Currently tied for 42nd longest stretch with no measurable precip at 15 days. After today we make it to a tie for 30th longest dry stretch. If we get past Tuesday without rain we have a chance at making the top 10 longest dry streaks. And the first time recording 20+ days with no rain since 1997.

Maybe we should start this thread since we've already seen our first 90 degree day.

Truly rare air we are in.

Is a trace considered measurable? I thought measurable was over a trace, and a trace was like just observed precip. Like flurries of snow aren’t measured, but a trace.

Looks like 5 min intervals peaked at 89.6 again, which I find hard to believe that’s where they stop all the time. Probably another 89-er.

Would that cause precip if it’s just smoke?

Although, we are running 5 degrees warmer than yesterday, lol. I'm sure clouds though will halt us today too.

There were hardly any clouds anywhere near where I was. Was there some smoke higher up? I really can't imagine we didn't hit 90.

Typical

It’ll be close. But I know what to expect, lol.