Gino27

Somehow managed 2.88" out of this thing. Thought for sure the majority of it would be north of me, 4.36" monthly total now.

There's definitely a mixed bag of factors to deliberate about this winter for our area. Given this will be a 2nd year nina, there aren't very consistent analogs to compare from this standpoint. Obviously 2011-2012 was godawful, and that type of winter is certainly a possibility. Most of the other 2nd year nina's were close to, or just below average snow. In terms of what we can see developing now, there appears to be a SSW either ongoing or staring soon. This should lead to a weaker than normal PV overall, but it's clearly too early to how this will impact us. Another factor I'm not as familiar with is the cooling in the NPAC region. I've seen some mets point this out as a red flag for the east coast, but I'm not sure how it could affect us. Overall I think this winter will be warmer than normal with probably less than average snow, but not a complete torch/snoozer. Maybe Columbus will finally break out of it's "big storm" slump.

We had several inches of snow in late April last year

Seems like both euro and gfs want to bring the freezer back at some point.

Winter is trying to make it's annual comeback in April. Hopefully it doesn't stick around through May like last year.

ILN seems to think it's possible. Their watch is for gusts to 65 after the front and the AFD states, " The wind fields -- both in magnitude and expanse -- are concerning. The LL directional and speed shear is notable, yielding hodographs are long and somewhat curved. The main limiting factor for severe potential will be the lack of instability rooted near the surface, which may be rather limited except /just/ along/immediately ahead of and east of the actual sfc low track itself. This would support an environment where the greatest severe threat would exist immediately near/east of the sfc low track, which current model consensus would place mainly near/west of the I-75 corridor. This, of course, is entirely dependent on the track of that sfc low and the degree to which we can attain SB destabilization in the wake of afternoon activity. The profile will be very saturated, but very energetic. If even a little bit of SB-instby is realized, it would not take much at all for stronger cores to translate down some /very/ strong wind to the sfc."

Good times in here. Would y'all want an Ohio severe thread, or is there no interest?

This is part of what gets me. I started following the weather around 2008 and the 2008-2015 period had some pretty epic winters. In that sense I think we're all a bit spoiled.

8:30am, 40 degrees, sun is out... gonna lose a lot of snow and really feel like spring today.

I can't think of a better winter than this year realistically. Early start, Christmas storm, some awesome squalls, 2-3 big storms to track, 12" depth, and no extreme cold. Now add an early-ish warmup (not torch) with a slower snow melt to avoid flooding concerns, we're in a good spot. Big busts will happen, especially with our location/climate. Learn from them and move on. Edit: we also never had an all out mid-winter torch

My last HS baseball season gets underway tomorrow. 40s are greatly appreciated compared to some of the crap we've had in previous years.

You're not wrong about the storm track. It's VERY rare for SE michigan to be the jackpot, much like Central OH. We just haven't had ours in 6-7 years now, while you guys have had a few in recent years.

Idk about that. I don't know how one system could depress the SE ridge (that will inevitably show up) for the whole month of march. By mid month we should be looking at close to 50 for highs. That would be an epic cold outbreak to keep us that cold for the whole month.

The next few days look like end of winter's death grip that we've been seeing the last few weeks. Next week will feel really warm as we could tap into the upper 40s. With that taste of early spring we'll prob have snow in April and freezing temps in to mid-May like last year lol.

Ain't that the truth... Eastern Ohio was crushing it early on. Two weeks ago most of Northern OH was burried. Then last week Cincinnati got their big one. I'm still gonna end up right around or above average this season, and we broke our "no WSW streak" even though none of them verified.

Yeah mines is about 12" and only 1/2 of it is powedery snow, mostly concrete at this point. It's going to be a month before some of these plow piles are gone.

I think 3" is the total high end for Thursday barring a big NW shift. I'm starting wonder what the snow melt over the next few weeks will look like. I'm hoping it's more gradual and without any heavy rain so we don't have flooding issues.

Don’t even wanna think about it lol. We overperformed on QPF so might’ve been double digits. I lucked out and got snow/sleet total of 5”

Absolute insanity. After 2-3 inches of sleet this darn thing decided to rip snow. Let's see if it lasts.

I think you'll get it! Hang in there!

99% sure I’m the luckiest guy on the planet right now. Sorry guys!

Mostly snowing now. Wow

It’s hard not to sit back and imagine if was all snow. Definitely going to pound town to the west. Man... those gravity waves

I do think we might switch back to snow at least for a little. Running out of room though.