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Gino27
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Everything posted by Gino27
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If we're playing this game... CMH: 7.4" DAY: 11.6" CVG: 9.8" TOL: 11.0" CLE: 10.5" My backyard (Plain City) 8.2"
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Here's what I went with for my twitter forecast. The 6" line could still move east or west once we see how this shapes up.
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I saw it was made at 3pm in the bottom right corner. Nice to see the other offices on board. DTX should be the last one to fall.
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Nice to see all the offices agree!!
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Track has changed slightly but the big difference has been it becoming a lot more amped. Also, most models definitely show a more significant push of warm air.
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I'm a bit more optimistic than I was earlier. I'm 12 hours from snow entering my area so models don't mean as much as they did yesterday. Even if this "busts" it's still a significant snow here.
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I looked into a lot of soundings of the NAm between 6z and 12z. The shift it had was honestly nuts. I'm thinking we can write it off for now.
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As long as we stay all snow we're in for a big one. We won't get the crazy ratios of those more the west but can't compain.
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Both GFS and GFS v16 held serve. Looking good outside of the NAM.
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This is refreshing. I'm in SE Union county so I can typically do a little better than Cbus in these setups. If nam comes back to it's senses I'm game on.
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I really don't know what to think for us in the I-71 region. NWS has held steady for us despite glaring model changes. As it sits now the nam is the only one that actually screws me over, but there's no telling if the bleeding has stopped on the others.
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I'm mostly disregarding the NAM because it has just been too inconstant. Every other model with the exception of the HRRR has been marching NW with no end in sight. Even the euro almost brought sleet into Franklin County. I know there's a lot more to this than models but it's still hard to watch.
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I see no end in sight with the NW trends. Most of us within 20 miles or so of I-71 are probably screwed imo. Hopefully today's runs can stop the bleeding and NWS stays confident.
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At least this one looks to be busting 24 hours before the storm. Much better than waking up to sleet and rain.
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Man this thing is screaming NW. I went from being on the NW fringe of heavier snow to almost a mix in just 12 hours of runs. Hopefully just windshield wiper effect here.
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It's both northern IN, ILN, and CLE. From what I've read so far is ILN is treating this as a two part storm and they don't think those areas will reach warning criteria from either wave, despite ending up with 8" overall.
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Classic lowball advisory calling for 5"-7" here. NWS must not be buying the NW bumps yet. Even though I'm in a warning, I feel like areas to my NW will out perform.
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Well everyone. It's finally upon us.
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I like nice people
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CLE and ILN are really hugging the further east idea that’s the gfs and others had. I understand they consider a lot more than just models but it’s kinda appalling given that the more eastern models aren’t even initializing the high pressure correctly.
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This is just crazy...
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Models seem to be overdoing the heights that push the storm east compared meso analysis. I wonder if the SE trend over the last 24 hours is really legit.
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How could I forget Feb 2010! Ugh what storms those two were.
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