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Gino27

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Everything posted by Gino27

  1. I agree with advisories across the board. We just don't meet the criteria of 6" in 12 hours. 8" in 24 is certainly possible for the higher elevations in west-central ohio though.
  2. Gfs has been consistently horrible on this storm. It’s pretty clear it’s wrong.
  3. I talk with a lot of Chicago, DC, and Northeast folks on Twitter and this has to be the first time I recall all of us having chance at significant snow from the same storm.
  4. Haha I just have a bad feeling about this. Warm air creeping up is always a death sentence for us.
  5. Yep. Models look great at 10:1 but the snow will really struggle with warm surface temps. I bet the rain even creeps 20 miles north of I-70.
  6. ILN backtracking with totals. Looks like my 741 day no WSW streak will survive.
  7. Euro puts me at 13" NWS says 3-5" gfs at .5". I'm pretty sure there's no way to know lol.
  8. Still wondering if ILN will expand watches. The news from ILX about temps being warmer is a downer for sure being I'll be right on the edge of the r/s line.
  9. I'm on the very eastern fringe of the watch. Calling for 5-8. Anything over 6" would be my biggest storm in almost 6 years.
  10. The typical warm tongue that usually slides right up the Scioto valley close to Columbus is pretty clear on the snowfall maps. I'm weary of a warmer solution coming to fruition.
  11. If only is right. I just don't buy it. There is some dry air likely at precip onset and there will certainly be a surge of warm air. Everything is probably still on the table. It would be comforting to see the gfs come around however.
  12. 18z euro showing something we don't see around here often. I have my doubts per usual. These love to get swept out from under us in the last 48 hours.
  13. Given how conservative ILN usually is with snow this is notable.
  14. Yeah for sure. I think the thump is good regardless. Now whether or nor we are cold enough for the ULL stuff will be the difference between 2-4 inches and a major storm.
  15. I'm trying to be very cautious with this. We've seen these trend north and go warm within 48 hours a million times.
  16. Ugh I'm gonna need these to stop inching north
  17. Everything is just a tad too for north for me to get something big. I'll a 2"-4" thump any day though.
  18. You know the past 5 winters have sucked when I see one bad run and feel like jumping ship on the storm. EPS is all dry for Central OH
  19. Yeah our climo sure doesn't do us any favors. On 1/19/19 I changed over to snow pretty early being that I'm up in Union county. I forgot about the 2/20/19 big thump event that put around 4-5" in the city and over 6" in parts of Madison county, but was only a WWA. Central Ohio certainly struggles with the tougher warning criteria that almost everyone in the Lakes, Plains, and Northeast has, but with crappy climo.
  20. Yeah for sure. 1/19/19 looked like an easy 8"-12" north of I-70. I got 6" with 1.4" of liquid that day. What could've been.... I'm pretty sure the last warning before that verified would've been 3/1/2015 with a WSW upgrade during the storm, and the 2/1/19 clipper got close to warning criteria with high ratios. However, he last true watch turned warning that met criteria was 2/21/15. That's 2,166 days. ugh...
  21. I put this out on Sunday. Make it 738 days.
  22. Can't wait for this threat to trend into 20 mins of snow then rain
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