I admit, I didn’t look at the NAM too closely after your original post. I wasn’t sure if there was some bias/bug thing the 3k NAM does sometimes. If the numbers it was showing verified somewhere, then cool! I haven’t been looking at weather stuff much at all except for in class when we look at the models and stuff.
I don’t think the two really compare that much. There might be elements of this that are truly once in a lifetime. Perhaps not wind, but rainfall as you mentioned.
Interesting looking storm approaching me down here near Richmond. Perhaps it will bring some rain.
Edit: Got a quick soak and some breeze. Storms feel more intense when you’re surrounded by trees
Seems like it’s the usual pattern recently with the NC stuff, and the little bit of northern-ish VA stuff leaving a gap around richmond. I’ll wait a bit longer to be sure though.
Reached 85ish here, not as bad as previous weeks. Hoping for some rain tomorrow, but if the 3k NAM is to be believed (ha, no.), it will be another miss. I like what the HRRR is showing though!
They should have split that enhanced up into 2 zones. I just wasn’t seeing it. Same thing happened last week. I guess it’s justified though, as guidance couldn’t make up its mind.
I haven’t seen anything since lunch time, and now I’m confused. There was a decent line modeled south of the current stuff, but now there’s nothing at all? Or maybe the gap is bigger now, with the south stuff staying well near NC…
Beautiful evening. Couldn’t see the sunset through smoke, but maybe it’s cloudy too not sure. Someone has a fire going making a very nice mood outside, reminds me of late September just warmer.