Rhino16

Congrats everyone in Richmond. Northern neck missed again, but it happens. I’m interested in the wind tomorrow.

3k NAM seems too dry? It is snowing in spots north of the nc/va line but the model doesn’t depict that at all. It’s also missing stuff in NC as well.

Getting flakes in the northern neck

-18 at Canaan NWR currently.

Are you getting any flakes right now? Further west seems to be. It’s weird the 3k NAM dries out so much but the other one doesn’t. I don’t know if that’s a known thing it does.

Hopefully we can at least cover the grass again because it’s ugly after being smushed by the glacier.

What’s the difference between a “first guess” and “first call”?

I hate sharing my thoughts, but when I do, it’s most likely to be in the warm season. I also am not confident on synoptic level stuff so I’m not great at tracking winter storms.

The SPC MD says 0.05-0.1”/hr. The precip ahead of it seems to have beefed up a bit too, which I don’t like. The crust is nice and shiny though!

Heard a scary cracking noise outside. The sky is orange I think. Still waiting on this ice squall thingy, but with 1/8” already I hope it isn’t too bad.

Measured 1/8” of ice here, think the temp is dropping in the area but hard to tell.

Decent rate freezing rain right now but it’s been fluctuating in intensity. I think temps are close to freezing but just slightly below? I woke up late so measured 1 & 1/8” of snow/sleet/ice. Local station at 30, but that’s south across the river. edit: seeing 31s pop up now so the changeover to plain rain may be close.

Eyeballing maybe an inch here on the coast. It must not have continued much when I went to sleep

Guess I’m staying up until 1 or 2 since it will flip by 4am here. Nothing falling on the drive home.

Some light flakes here in the southern Northern Neck