Prospero
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Everything posted by Prospero
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Hell I'd be preparin'. WU is more on track, but still really??
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Weather.com: Really?
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Any chasers down there yet?
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Well here we are here in the Florida west peninsula, escaping them all season, why LA again?! If I were the Earth, it's not the drinking and partying in New Orleans, it's not the sparsely populated the areas west of NE irritating me, so what? The oil digging in the Gulf pricking my skin? OK, time for a Delta Banter thread?
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Yea. Is it "for certain" a hard left is coming? I see the models. Not too many years ago storms would take their own path. I know technology and predictions have improved. But "for sure" a hard left?
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That came up in the search results. I'm not knowin' as bout Dreamcast, but that was the most interesting of all results I think. Other than "Gamma" being the third letter of the Greek alphabet, I wish I never looked it up. TROPICAL STORM GAMMA That's it for me.
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I decided to look up "Gamma" on the internet, to see what I could learn. Now I think forever to me, "Gamma" was the tropical storm that was in early October 2020.
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OK, in my case anyway. UGH I saw a "Major Hurricane Marie" thread active, I figured it had to be new photos from a storm months ago in the Atlantic or Gulf of Mexico that I obsessed about and forgot.
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I swear I moved my mouse over the image expecting the popup window! LOL
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"Marie is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Steady weakening is expected during the next several days, and Marie is forecast to become a tropical storm by Sunday night." Hmmmm, "this will probably be better than all the atlantic storms", still verified?
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Do I see a new burst?
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Still impressive over land as the sun is starting to go down.
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Figuring here October 10 through 14 is a time to watch for Florida Gulf Coast. If we get through that, we'll start to relax. Not that we are not starting to relax even now... But hey, November is never a slam dunk finished season either. I may start to watch the blizzard forums...
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We are getting rain here right now on the west central Florida coast in October. Always a treat, and almost always a tropical system this time of year (even though a cold front did come through this past week). I think we'd be in a drought this summer if not for the steady stream of TCs.
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Tonight: ............................................ Can anybody find me some model to hug? Ooh, each morning I get up I die a little Can barely stand on my feet (Take a look at yourself) Take a look in the mirror and cry (and cry) Lord, what you're doing to me (yeah yeah) I have spent all my years in believing you But I just can't get no relief, Lord! Somebody (somebody) ooh somebody (somebody) Can anybody find me some model to hug? I work hard (he works hard) every day of my life I work 'til I ache in my bones At the end (at the end of the day) I take home my hard earned pay all on my own I get down (down) on my knees (knees) And I start to pray 'Til the tears run down from my eyes Lord, somebody (somebody), ooh somebody (Please) can anybody find me some model to hug? ................................... OK, yea tomorrow will be another day...
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This is the same system the NHC is watching.
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Yea, I know, fantasy models. But they keep popping up for a week and half out.
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5 Day Outlook
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Model for us to hug this morning around Tampa Bay...
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Just need a model to hug tonight...
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The GFS generally has more weight with me, and October 11 is far away date for now, but will be paying attention...
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Oh yea, Charlie, it had us in the cross-hairs in Tampa Bay up to a few hours before landfall. So many people evacuated with a historic traffic jam on the bridges to go to Orlando for safety. Charlie did a surprise hard right at Port Charlotte and mostly missed Tampa Bay. But my friends who went to Orlando had stories of trees falling down in hotel parking lots, power being out, so on. One person came home to a waterfront home on the intercoastal waterway here and their old dried out Christmas tree from the year before was still sitting on their boat dock. I was in Sun City Center in southeast Hillsborough County watching shutters and roof tiles fly down the road. I watched for a couple hours, still daylight which seems to be a real treat for us storm geeks. They have very few trees in that senior community, but driving around the next morning did see a lot of trees down on the main highways and streets. There was a mile long swath on I-75 just north of the Port Charlotte exit where it was obvious the eye wall came through. Wow, it was a Cat 5 if I remember right. Looked more like a wide tornado path came by. Trees snapped off like match sticks. Francis and Jeanne were both stronger in this area the same year very soon after. What a year.
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Have to give the GFS-parallel the prize for the eye catchers this year. How did it actually do?
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If I had a dollar for every time a model showed a storm passing by or over Tampa Bay this season, well... I suppose I could buy a large extra crispy mushroom pineapple pizza and a 12 pack of Amber Bock.
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Watching here in Gulfport Florida. We never get too relaxed this time of year. Granted, it is quiet now and absolutely gorgeous as far as weather. But as the Grateful Dead say, "When life looks like Easy Street, there is danger at your door". Even so, it does feel like things are over here for us. Kind of hoping, we were very lucky so far for 2020. It has been interesting season (ok maybe trolling Ghost of Leroy), and we felt several storms with gusts in the TS range, a lot of rain at times, mild surges, etc., but all in all very easy season for the central west coast of Florida. We were in five day cones, so we did have moments of excitement. LOL
