Yes, structurally this storm is very well developed but given lack of a coherent CDO and some popcorn storms in the western and northern circulation me thinks it is battling some mid level dry air
Interesting the NHC noted a developing eyewall from recon with a minimal TS with a questionable appearance. Not seeing the convective blowup you usually see when NHC notes a formative eyewall. Wonder if that was a transient feature
RE the KRDU temp obs- I’ve noticed that my readings have been MUCH more in line with RDU since that June heat wave and honestly are probably 1-3 degrees above what the airport’s reading has been as of late! I wonder if the summer drought and peak sun angle heating was the culprit. I still don’t believe RDUs June readings that consistently beat out Fayetteville on a daily basis! It doesn’t make sense to be so high above other regional obs that consistently only to fall in line later in the fall
Cracked 80 again today. Dewpoints between 60-62 have it feeling quite muggy. This might be worse than missing out on snow in winter. I love crisp fall afternoons more than anything and we are burning through the peak under a heat dome
0.18” gonna do it for October. Officially the driest month since I’ve lived here, following the wettest. Really worried about the rest of fall/winter in the rainfall department
Jeezeee the 18z GFS is one of the most ridiculous heat domes I’ve ever seen in November! 80’s through the run and not a single low in the 40’s here! Absolute craziest torch I’ve ever seen modeled in November
It’s almost a lock RDU sets the record with our third straight snowless winter! (I’m taking your pessimistic approach this year maybe I’ll reverse jinx it)
Kong-Rey is an absolute beast. My thoughts on the size of this storm are the giant size will make it less likely to weaken significantly before landfall even with terrain impacts