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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. Euro too. Canadian to a similar extent. Nice to see some level of consistency
  2. 12z GFS looks great 20-25th. All the ingredients are there. Pattern is good, wish there was more southern jet energy but miller B or a clipper bombing out with enough blocking to work seems to me what our storm mode would be. Fast paced pattern is an understatement but blocking seems to set up with a ridge over the Rockies at least giving us a 3-5 day window to score
  3. Already pushing an inch of rain today with that storm that just pushed through
  4. GFS is legitimately all over the place. This time it chose cold and a coastal bomb. What will GFS roulette reveal next time? I’ve been saying for awhile but I’ll say it again: Christmas week is interesting. Hints of southern stream energy and a cold push with NAO trending neutral to negative. A storm is brewing in the 20-23rd timeframe
  5. Everything about this winter is different than the last few. A fast pattern, no real semi permanent SER, better look PAC. Not saying we score but this isn’t going to be without opportunities. Heck, some of us already are on the board. Christmas week continues to have my attention
  6. 22.6, 12. If that wind had calmed earlier we’d be well into the teens!
  7. Looking at obs mine was most pronounced with initial cooling but Sanford and Louisburg had almost identical swings and the timing aligned perfectly with what my station saw. I’m guessing the wind calmed in the evening allowing for a period of radiational cooling then picked up for a period overnight before slackening off again before daybreak
  8. Interesting temperature spikes last night. We got down to 36 at 11, rose to almost 45 by 2, then fell for a second low of 39 right before sunrise before rapidly rising to 49 now. I’m guessing that’s related to inconsistent wind through the night at my location
  9. Christmas week looks interesting on the Euro as well
  10. High pressure centered directly overhead and near perfect radiational cooling conditions. Teens into SC is impressive for Dec 4
  11. 20.2 was the low this morning here. Up a degree now. Looks like most areas around here are in the teens
  12. The last part of that AFD mentioning RDU is hilarious: Expect clear skies and very cold temperatures with exceptional radiational cooling in the arctic air mass (frost points in the teens). Most lows in the 15-20 range, except for RDU.
  13. I’m at 27. They’re at 34. That’s wild stuff
  14. Even if it warms up for a week or two looking like most areas will have had multiple nights in the teens (more than we had all last winter), most of two weeks with lows below freezing, and accumulating snow in parts of the piedmont before Christmas. Add in a very strong start to the ski season in the mountains and this is an excellent start to winter. My bar is exceedingly low but a period of sustained cold at least gives me hope after what we’ve been through
  15. Snow reports showing up from Wilmington to ocean isle
  16. https://x.com/wxbrad/status/1863927984136032677?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g Snow cover visible from satellite! Definitely an over performer
  17. I know you got excited when that band looked like it was moving this way…
  18. That’s awesome! Looks like 1/2”+ So jealous of all who got under that band. Accumulating Snow before Christmas and a cold week with multiple nights in teens… That’s a mega treat here
  19. Congrats to those who saw snow! Seeing amounts to almost 2” in and around Lexington per twitter. So sounds like models were extremely accurate with band placement. We are at 25.3 degrees this morning, no snow here
  20. Some the hi res guidance is trending north with the snow, getting Greensboro and the triangle into it later tonight. Interesting
  21. Temps have plummeted to 29.7 here already
  22. (This topic just turned “hot” for the first time this winter)
  23. Would be fun to get a localized heavier band that overperforms for some areas. Seems possible based on afternoon mesoscale model runs
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