NorthHillsWx

Honestly I’d be very happy with a 1-3” event to cap off this pattern. Would get many near climo for the season with February and March to go

They’ve had more weenie runs with this system then we’ve had in 5 years. They’re going to get slammed. This run tops all the rest too

Might go hand in hand honestly

I just did.

Even if this is just a very light event, it could be the 3rd or 4th snow event (depending on location) in the last 2 weeks. That’s not bad for our region

One would think a 995 low sitting just off hatteras would generate more than 0.10-0.25” for piedmont locations but the transfer could shaft some areas outside the coastal plain. Big time improvement though

The RGEM run was setting up nicely for a large chunk on this board and after the last 2 events that carry’s some weight. Would not shock me to see the globals pull the developing comma head back into piedmont areas tonight. It’s more in line with climo and without blocking seems even more possible assuming the phase occurs to our south and not right off Hatteras. This one’s alive folks very much so

I agree- I think the massive runs from a few days ago (we all knew it was too good to be true) are off the table but if the low gets cranking we could see a minor event across the area with more in the snow belt (Elizabeth City). In other words, I’m thinking this has a low risk to be high impact but may not be without risk to be a low-moderate snow event at this juncture. Certainly a lot of options on the table

Can we talk about the NAM?? That’s not far off AT ALL. It’s about to go BOOM too at the end of the run. Long range, I know, but that is close to what we need

I fixed your post

Euro was further west and quicker with the phase. Verbatim was a 1-3” snowstorm for much of NC with much more in NE NC. Euro actually takes the low inside the benchmark further north and over eastern MA. I’m sure it got some of those folks around Boston a tad bit concerned about mixing

RGEM was absolutely locked into the last one

This is why I come to these boards

18z NAM further SW and even a bit sharper with the trough axis at long range. I know it’s the long range NAM but it’s continuing the trend. With the absence of significant blocking I do wonder if we may end up with development too far west and a rainstorm. I know we’re not there yet but these are all significant and honestly expected trends with a low of this strength. Something to watch at least. For now we seem to be in a decent spot to get SOMETHING out of this

I like the college football model for college. The only problem I have with it is it’s gimmicky. It doesn’t force a team to drive. Running plays inside the redzone is a heck of a lot simpler than driving down the field to get to the redzone. I don’t like it for the NFL

Has anyone on the forum other than the Florida folks NOT seen winter weather this season?

With all the snowstorm tracking I’ve forgotten to post here, but my precip total for the month is now 7.32”!!!

Definitely a little skewed with the 4 showing over 20 inches in the central part of the state but trending towards a good look at this range

That’s one of the best inside 4 day ensemble runs we’ve had in a long time in regards to some serious amounts shown in the South

Wow that’s a southwest trend and trending to a sharper trough further west as well. That would make me think future runs will show earlier phasing and even more westward shifts

Agree to an extent, but if this thing goes bombs away as a dynamic system, as progged, these are the ones that rapidly drag down the colder 850 mb air and “manufacture” their own cold west of the track. This is not a slider type storm with cold air chasing moisture if it’s going to town, as it has the potential to do. Very very very few big central NC snows begin as pure snow

Cold chasing moisture. Definitely not what we need

I think my point is you’re assuming every OT game is an offensive shootout when many are 9-9 or 12-12 low scoring contests where playing an extra quarter is likely to result in not much scoring. At some point in football your professional defense needs to earn their paycheck and stop the other team. There had to be a winner and the bills had their chance. Just hold them to a dang FG and by your logic they’d win bc they’d score a TD. I absolutely don’t think playing another quarter of football would’ve been beneficial besides likely causing more injuries to the team going to the conference championship putting them at a disadvantage going in

While I agree to some extent, your assessment assumes the other team cannot field a defense thar can keep the other team out of the end zone. All they needed was one stop and they couldn’t get it. It’s a 2 sided game not just offense. I like the revised format where a FG doesn’t win it like it used to on your first possession (start with good field position drive 15 yards kick a 50 yarder) but, last night is a perfect example, if your defense cannot keep the other team out of the end zone when they absolutely need it, that team does not deserve to win

We are at 5 days and have ensemble support in addition to the op solutions for several model suites. This is officially a threat. Happy tracking this week!