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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. NorthHillsWx
    Will probably end up dry
  2. NorthHillsWx
    Not going to lie, this far out it looks like the players are on the board. That is an optimal SE winter storm low track and there is cold air available. For Mid-November, that is as much as you can ask for at this point. This is definitely something worth tracking atm. Keep in mind, this is more than a week out. I wish this setup was a month from now!
  3. NorthHillsWx
    I'll take snow any way we can get it. November or April. December is my favorite month for winter weather due to the winter solstice and lowest sun angle allowing accumulations to last.
  4. NorthHillsWx
    Impressive Cold Outbreak for November seems to be gaining momentum in modeling over the past 48 hours of runs.
  5. NorthHillsWx
    GFS looks DRYYYY
  6. NorthHillsWx
    Who else loves snow maps in early November? Doubt it'll happen but let our tracking season (letdown season) begin!
  7. NorthHillsWx
    Frosty and 33 this morning IMBY. Was down to 31 according to my truck at the Farm in Louisburg Sunday morning when I got in the deer stand. Been waiting on this all summer!
  8. NorthHillsWx
    0.78" yesterday on top of 0.51" from the previous day gives a storm total of 1.29." Got down to 41 last night.
  9. NorthHillsWx
    I know some people west of here got plenty of rain from the past system but we were not so lucky. Might be our only shot for awhile. Doesn't get any drier
  10. NorthHillsWx
    No wind, minimal lightning, and 30 min of decent rain in North Hills.Yay. Saw more wind this afternoon when it got sunny and some winds mixed to the surface
  11. NorthHillsWx
    Just like that the clouds parted and the sun is out in full in the Raleigh area. Did not expect the clouds to abate this quickly or entirely. Not great...
  12. NorthHillsWx
    No sun in the Triangle area yet, but extremely gusty south winds. Warm, imagine if we see some breaks we could shoot into the 80's fairly rapidly. Some concerning severe parameters especially west and north of my location. Will be interesting to see if some of the sunshine others are noting lead to increased instability and maximize the storm potential during peak heating hours.
  13. NorthHillsWx
    I've said it before, I'll say it again: Rarely do nighttime (Especially 9PM-12AM) events live up to hype. I think Triad through western VA will have a nasty/severe squall line but RARELY do these things hold together from a severe perspective east of that much after sundown. I expect no different today, despite the enhanced risk area.
  14. NorthHillsWx
    After this summer I'll take anything measurable.
  15. NorthHillsWx
    Looks like another funky tropical/subtropical named storm in the Atlantic is upcoming. The system in the far Northern Atlantic certainly seems to be producing storms around the center and has at least a subtropical appearance now. NHC upgraded it to 50% this morning. Given the recent increase in convection and the fact it's already sporting 45 kt wind I'd expect an upgrade to another named system this evening, as long as recent trends continue.
  16. NorthHillsWx
    Currently 65 degrees with Light Rain. Actually have over-performed here as we're sitting at .50" already with rain continuing. Heavy mist has actually been fairly efficient in accumulating. Saw the airport has less than half as much. Had some moderate rain for about 2 hours with a patch that developed right over here. I'll take it. Maybe we can crack an inch between today and tomorrow. Good soaking rain, again
  17. NorthHillsWx
    These days a "cold" front just means a day or 2 of temps near normal, followed by another surge of +10-15 degree heat
  18. NorthHillsWx
    Looks "spooky" dry from Triangle east through the end of all model runs. Quite the difference from the western half of the Carolinas to the eastern side in terms of modeled precip
  19. NorthHillsWx
    Picked up a whopping 0.10 yesterday. Also saw a high of 86 which was absolutely brutal since it occurred AFTER the rain and turned what little had fallen into brutal humidity. Sheesh I thought that was done with! Looking drier and drier for this upcoming system as best dynamics/lift look to stay west of here. Hoping the relief we had on the developing drought was not temporary,,,
  20. NorthHillsWx
    I think we may have a chance at our first freeze Monday morning. Given a favorable HP placement, light winds, and low DP this is a VERY favorable setup for maximum radiational cooling. Most models over-do nighttime temps at this range in these setups as well. This wouldn't be much behind our long terms average first freeze, either. Would be interesting to get a freeze before a frost if that came to fruition!
  21. NorthHillsWx
    Same time haha
  22. NorthHillsWx
    Invest 97L looking healthy this morning. Would not be surprised to see this thing be a quick-developing TS today given the organization this morning. Hostile environment ahead but definitely showing some spin on IR and first visible shots this morning
  23. NorthHillsWx
    Wow, the storm this weekend has really trended west, towards the Euro solution, on the GFS from earlier runs this week. What looked like a washout may end up no rain at all in central NC. It does however stall out the boundary and re-form precipitation over the area early next week. Definitely trending towards an amped low in the MS valley for the system this weekend though
  24. NorthHillsWx
    Picked up a quick 0.20" of rain yesterday afternoon. That makes over 3" for the past 2 weeks, or considerably better than it has been
  25. NorthHillsWx
    Looks like a very brief window for any rain today. Still mostly cloudy and 73 degrees. Gusty wind has developed in the last hour as well
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