NorthHillsWx

Globals are now trying to pop a decent coastal system Monday/Tuesday. Sadly, there is no cold air and it’s all rain

Pretty warm here. 57 and cloudy. Low of 50 last night

Crickets this morning… telling

That’s called being burnt out from all the misses we endure every season and when forecasting the low end you’ll be correct 95% of the time in our forum outside the mountain folk

EURO definitely winning the battle on this storm. Hasn’t really budged. GFS has thrown about every possible solution out there

06z GFS has completely caved to other guidance. Flatter, warmer and weaker. Looks very similar to Euro and Ukie now

All I know is 5 straight weeks of winter storm tracking is ridiculous. I thought Mother Nature was giving us a break?!?! All this for 3.4” of snow and a couple flizzards

My brother lives in Urbana and they’ve had 2 5”+ events and a couple smaller events this year! This last one they had borderline blizzard conditions. Crazy the difference 45 minutes to your east

Sadly, if you didn’t capitalize on the pattern we are exiting, the odds are not in your favor going forward. Definitely feels like a bit of a wasted pattern, at least for RDU. I know Charlotte/triad/upstate/Virginia/South Carolina/NE NC/Va Beach folks are all happy, LOL. We had one decent event out of a month straight of chances. At least we had a good snow but man what could’ve been

It will get it done, but it’s 1038 over Maine at the beginning, it very quickly moves to Newfoundland. I should have elaborated. Big CAD need the high moving into that position with the precip, not leaving. Even with the cold push on the EURO it has nothing to sustain it and the only reason it hangs on is bc the system is so weak you don’t have the 850 warmth we always see with stronger systems. My point is, in this setup we’re going to have to thread the needle to see anything more than nuisance ice. The Euro is the best bet but sadly it’s on an island and not impressive to begin with

I think most in our forum would take this if presented Christmas week… Pretty amazing turnaround in January and forum-wide winter weather

29.3 this morning. Probably our last morning cracking the 20’s for a few days. I can’t even remember the last morning we weren’t in the 20’s or lower. Definitely had the cold air around this year, unfortunate we haven’t been able to cash in more but enjoyed our moderate snowstorm. Best winter since 2017-18 for sure and it’s not really close

The Euro definitely has a stronger cold push to begin- but 1038 over Maine is not going to get it done especially if the system is stronger than depicted.

I’m just not seeing anything that screams “major” ice storm. There is retreating HP, the timing will have to be perfect with the transient HP to have any frozen, the antecedent cold air is marginal, and this all relies on the system staying relatively weak and not routing the cold air before a wedge can get established. Long story short, this looks like in-situ CAD and some ice but I really doubt this is a major ice storm, at least from the setup I’m seeing

Yay?

16.4 here this morning. Coldest temp of season and coldest in a few years

Car topper here. Congrats SC folks been a good winter for y’all

Snowing but still well above freezing so not sticking

34.9 with light snow. Weak sauce. I seen it, goodnight!

It’s pretty obvious the forcing we were hoping for went north of us into Virginia. This one’s dead- is what it is

Wish casting. It’s not coming west any

Same. I’ll be happy if it’s mostly white outside in the morning

We’ve been tracking winter weather since January 1st nonstop and I have just over 3 inches of snow to show for it….

Temp going down nicely with virga overhead. 45.3

As I typed that we seemed to have maxed out. 46.8 was our high now back down to 46.4 hopefully with the cloud deck built in now that’s as high as we will get for the day