NorthHillsWx

Might actually turn the heat on again today. That's a win this "winter," right?

Well, we've hit what's becoming the yearly rallying cry: February will save us! Prime climo be damned

Reached 32 briefly this morning. Felt amazing. Shot a limit of wood ducks before work. Nice not to be swatting mosquitoes

These 2 posts back to back just cracked me up... Ahh, life in the Southeast

Will probably be more active than this winter's thread the next couple months...

Warmer than average, wetter than average, below normal or no snow. 2019-20 might go down as my first winter period without seeing any snow. Cliff? Oh I'm off the cliff. I'm swimming with the sharks below

Haven't thrown in the towel yet but darn close to. Chasing storms 10+ days out only to have them turn to rain storms (and not even borderline ones) has taken the wind out of my sails with this "Pattern Change." I will, however, enjoy some winter-like days next week before we warm up and rain again

0.00" Today. Forecast certainly dried out from earlier in the week

yay?

The rain on Saturday looks to have pushed back to Saturday night. Also went from over and inch on the GFS a couple days ago to nothing today. NWS sounded somewhat bullish on a large area of rain in this morning AFD. Will be interesting to see if they change course at this afternoon's update. Might actually get a dry weekend!

Back to bleak mood on here... Cold air coming and storm systems riding the southern stream. I'd be concerned if models WERE showing snow, the kiss of death in these parts. We have the #1 ingredient coming: cold air, at least seasonable or below. I'll take our chances with a storm in the next 10 days.

Agreed. Don't think the magnitude of cold has changed, just turned to suppression city...

0.72" Monday-Monday night. Couple claps of thunder mixed in

12z GFS brings a brief period of light sleet/snow to northern parts of central NC Saturday Morning. Obviously not acc but would be refreshing after the Hellish weather we've been stuck in

Use statements like these with caution in these parts...

With the odds and Vegas stacked against us, we will find a way to prevail and score a "Big Dog," just like when TL16 outduels Burrow tonight. This heatwave in Dec-January is akin to Clemson's escape vs UNC: looked like the sky was falling and the season was lost, but in the end, all it takes is one key play or pattern change, and you come out on top. Just like 44-16!

0.24" overnight. Currently 66 with some sprinkles remaining. Looks like some big totals to our SW where that line of storm/showers is training. Got down to a chilly 65 last night. 65. For a low. On January 13th. That is not a typo. There are definitely glass half empty people but this winter gives credence to their perspective. I thought last year was bad. This is worse. At least we were sitting above normal snowfall this time last year.

Flip to a colder pattern continues to be well-advertised. As many have said, especially more than a week out, I would not focus on storm track. Just the presence of cold air and some southern stream energy means the players have left the locker room after a long weather delay (or more than 2 week gap between the semi's and the Championship) and are on the field. Now it's time to play ball. Hopefully we come out on top, like we ALL hope Clemson wins it's 3rd title in 4 years, except in this case the Title victory is something that whitens the ground and changes the mood on this board for the remainder of the season. Spot the ball!

Love chasing 10 day cooldowns on the models, knowing we are 100% going to burn 10 more days of peak climo to get there, while also knowing that it will not be as cold as modeled AND the cold will definitely be delayed is a wonderful feeling! IF everything works out as modeled, we will have to burn 10 more days of peak Climo after burning the last month plus... Love winter in the South!

Euro does not have the cold. At all lol.

One thing we can bank on with Op Models on modeled cold- it will be more progressive than shown this far out

6z GFS was a good run haha. I'd take that. Key point is all signs are pointing (finally) to a relaxing of the western trough that allows a better storm track and more opportunity for storms to tap the cold air available. I hate burning such vast stretches of winter but there may be light at the end of the tunnel. This has been consistently modeled to some degree for days now. Not just a run in fantasy land.

How could we fail??

31 last night

Not sure but the one on TT definitely factored in a lot of mixed precip as snow for the I-85 corridor south. The weatherbell one being more believable lol. Not going to lie, it just feels good seeing something, anything on the models even in LALA land smh