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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. He’s got an enjoyable website and social media pages, I’ll give him that. I enjoy the rare Richmond perspective too
  2. I reserve the right to be suspicious about that frontal passage snow as shown haha
  3. New Bern may actually be in a great spot. I feel like you are sneaky good at catching snows that way. Been several “last second” snows there that showed up in this range
  4. For once I’d like to know what a positive trend inside 48 hours feels like
  5. I do have to say that I am truly shocked and stunned as a professional meteorologist to see such a violent shift in the weather models from 11pm/12am Tuesday night Wednesday morning to the data this morning and at midday. I have been doing this for more than 25 years and I have to tell you that this shift is dramatic and quite sudden.
  6. Tell me, what does the sanitarium trending “hot” after the 12z model runs mean?
  7. Let me be clear- these are not imby posts. This has shifted from Blacksburg Virginia to oriental NC in 24 hours. You’re talking hundreds of miles and also even in the heaviest areas just a fraction of the QPF outputs from yesterday. This is not saying trends aren’t good for some on the board. Down east folks looking good for sure
  8. I guess everyone is banking on more expansive precip shield. Interesting
  9. Just remember guys, fabulous February will save us
  10. It really may never snow appreciably in Raleigh again. I just don’t know what it will take. Striking out last weekend hurt but was tolerable bc we had the rug pulled out on like day 4-5 but to have the rug pulled out at 36 hours is stupid bad. Going back your really have to go back a long time to find a good snow here. December 2018 was a hefty event but it almost all fell late at night and has changed to plain rain by mid morning which took a lot of luster from it
  11. This is one of the worst modeled events in a long time. To see such drastic shifts inside 48 hours is for sure not the norm.
  12. December 2018. Then had 6” of puddles in my backyard that evening after all the rain
  13. Given the 12z modeling and assuming these trends don’t correct this evening I could see RAH dropping watches west of Wake
  14. 12z Euro is a dumpster fire for everyone outside the costal plain. Look away now if you had anything invested in this Triangle west…
  15. I claimed a spot at the first sign of trouble last storm but I’m staying out of the sanitarium this storm, going to stay positive. Oh wait, crap
  16. Yuck, talk about lack of saturation through the column. Definitely going to struggle on the outside edge of this. Very cold dry air
  17. This would align with my thoughts, just take 1 inch off every total there across the board
  18. Canadian STILL shows a 2-4” snowstorm for Raleigh. I get it, the trends are concerning. I feel the same way. But even so, all the reliable models still align for a 2-4” snowfall over central NC…. A month ago we’d all be jumping for joy
  19. ^^^this. We were looking at a 1-3” sleet storm 2 days ago now, a 2-4” snowstorm with arctic air and high ratios. I see nothing cataclysmic from the modeling at this point. Definitely on edge but we’re still in a good spot
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