NorthHillsWx

I’ll take anything as long as it stays below freezing once the wintry precipitation starts and that there is enough snow or sleet to shovel. This looks like a good bet to get 1-3” of snow or sleet in the triangle with brutally cold temps. Honestly I don’t care if it’s just sleet 2” of sleet is a good storm to me. Models certainly showing a warm nose but steadfast on frigid surface temps. Keep the freezing rain out and this (and with these profiles it looks like an expansive sleet storm) will be a great storm regardless of total snowfall. Models are trending towards this type of storm and I’m perfectly ok with that!

HRRR brings that band through the triangle. A dusting would be a consolation prize

Picked up 1.70” today for a mtd total of 6.53.” Really making our dry fall seem even more distant. High of 37.4 (though this may not be correct as my weather station was coated in ice most of the day) and a low of 25.7

Above freezing now, 32.9. Finished with a coating of snow and sleet and at 0.25” of ice, maybe a hair more

Duke outages going to 110,000 now and rising rapidly

Starting to hear some popping in the neighborhood… 30.8 with freezing rain. Hoping we don’t go dark. I’d say we’re at .25” so definitely looking like we’re on track for more than forecast

Outside of the front end thump being heavier than expected to the tune of an inch or two extra snow for a few upstate counties, has the NAM been that bad with this storm? Seems to have nailed it for areas east of 85 so far

Well can officially say my ground was whitened this year. All sleet now, roads actually slushy. Temp down to 27.4

50/50 snow sleet for me. Trending towards sleet started as all snow. 27.9, crazy how fast we’re going to rocket above freezing

The mix line on CC looks like it settled south when rates/cooling took over but may be working back north and west now. Definitely going to walk the line for the 85 folks in the upstate next few hours but if you can keep snow it will certainly pile up fast with those rates and returns incoming. That’s a juiced system

https://www.clemson.edu/webcams/

The Clemson campus cams are impressive! SN+ and already deep snow on the roads. I think the northern upstate folks are going to do pretty good with this thump of snow!

That would be better than what we have tomorrow with ice and rain, at least we’d have the cold. The cold signal has been semi permanent on all modeling starting late this coming week

It’s been over 3 years since I had a snow stick to the pavement at my house… And ver 3 years since we’ve seen more than 2.5” of snow. I think us (the Raleigh crowd) have the right to be frustrated when without at doubt the best winter storm opportunity since December 2018 (which even here turned to a rainy mess) decides to turn to rain and 34 degrees

I’m sorry. We literally just went through this exact same thing. 6 days out, lower 20’s and 15” of snow on models to 34 degrees and rain. The signal for next weekend has been there for a long time and at a minimum it looks like the strongest push of arctic air in some time. I would probably be more worried about suppression than what just happened with this weekends storm

We’ll forget this map in 4 days when we’re staring down another 34 degree rain

A winter storm warning just doesn’t feel right knowing you’re going to wash whatever falls away with rain before dark… especially when it’s just ice

Decent consolation prize after 5 hours of slop to rain tomorrow

I’ll cash in that run from the Euro and extreme cold afterwards and sell the next 5 winters!!!

Did the Euro just give us the greatest board-wide win run in history?

Congrats on becoming a father! My daughter was born in October, my first!

Glad I reserved my spot here after the first super amped north run of the GFS a couple days ago…

Post of the decade

This needs to be said: be very, very weary of the thermal profile depicted by the NAM. That model absolutely excels in CAD scenarios such as this. I’d be extremely concerned even in mountain areas if subsequent runs show that warm nose cutting snow off 1/2 way through the storm as this run did, that run was awful for everyone and sadly I give it heightened credence given that models excellent track record nailing warm noses in CAD events. Watch that trend

2” of sleet is a big storm. Honestly, RAH is too high with accumulation in wake county. Imby I know but I doubt we see over a half inch