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Stevo6899

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Everything posted by Stevo6899

  1. Stevo6899
    Another bummer track for dtw. Looking like a road trip to cmu to visit cousin at school..
  2. Stevo6899
    It was pretty spot on, 5-6 days out with the midweek storm, better than all the other models. But yeah definitly not as good as it once was.
  3. Stevo6899
    Yea I noticed the canadian was stronger with that clipper in between. The weaker that clipper is, the more nw the storm may go?
  4. Stevo6899
    Yea thats definitly rare to see, but still wanna be nw of the low. It's all gonna come down to where the baroclinic zone and the block/confluence sets up. Everything has to line up for us so we'll see if we can get lucky and get a snowstorm.
  5. Stevo6899
    This midweek storm was going nw of Detroit for almost the whole time, especially on the euro. It definitly schooled the gfs on this one so far. The fact next weekends storm is SE on the euro is a good sign. Still a long ways to go.
  6. Stevo6899
    I think the 12z gfs is gonna look about as sexy as a storm can look for metro Detroit, 985 low intensifying in central Tennessee. The fact its intensifying so much, means its less likely to transfer to the coast, which we see so many times in this scenario/setup that limits a big dog. You got the front end, the main show, all snow. Pretty rare around these parts. 20-30 inch stripe. Perfect track with a little wiggle room for a NW adjustment.
  7. Stevo6899
    You know you've had shit luck with big dogs when we gotta go back to 78 to talk about a historic storm that dropped only 5 inches in detroit. Meanwhile chicago crew only gotta go back 12 years. East coast a few years. Minneapolis 13 years....
  8. Stevo6899
    I feel we talk about it every winter but that's about as nasty as I've seen it around here. Deep snow, arctic temps. I doubt we'll see that ever again.
  9. Stevo6899
    I guess I'm not around as much, but from what I saw he just liked to show off his love for warmth and palm trees. Nobody else in his life cared so he turned to here. I suppose not everyone has the tolerance to deal with trolls...
  10. Stevo6899
    Yea suppression is always the worry in El nino. Obviously like you said, until that midweek system rolls through, who knows.
  11. Stevo6899
    Gfs looking like you may be onto something...
  12. Stevo6899
    It's a message board, not a workplace. Just ignore people that try to troll sometimes. Its not that hard. Not sure why we gotta threaten people on here.
  13. Stevo6899
    I guess we got some stuff to track for awhile. As always all models showing drastically different things. Glad it's getting active...
  14. Stevo6899
    Yea central Missouri looks like the place to be. 12 hours+ of heavy deformation snow. Would be nice to witness something like that in my lifetime. Whoever gets under that banding, heaven...
  15. Stevo6899
    I think that next storm, if it's as strong as depicted now, will go nw, just like next week's. We need a gulf low or something come out of south Texas. These lows that come outta the rockies/4 corners/panhandle go negative tilt too early for metro detroit to get in on the goods.
  16. Stevo6899
    Looking like areas east of Chicago, and west of Albany ny, Zzzzz. Typical corridor of mediocrity.
  17. Stevo6899
    Still large differences between the euro/Canadian. Barely any cold sector precip and storm is pretty progressive on the canadian. Uncle ukie has totals drop off significantly from south to north Illinois, cutoff around Chicago.
  18. Stevo6899
    Yea looking good for western sub, hopefully the next one delivers for those who miss out on this one.
  19. Stevo6899
    Yea I think with a low that strong, there will be more dynamic cooling that the models aren't portraying. A track from NE Arkansas to Cleveland is usually good for most of Michigan. Interesting to see the euro look more like earlier gfs runs and the latest gfs took a step towards the euro.
  20. Stevo6899
    If the gfs ends up verifying, I'd imagine there would be blizzard warnings for the grr area. Only a few hour drive away. Canadian has a totally different evolution and track.
  21. Stevo6899
    The point is that may be the only storm the past few winters that didn't end up weaker/se than what the euro depicted 4/5 days out. I think the fact that detroit had mixing issues is why I didnt recall that event.
  22. Stevo6899
    Euro actually ends up weaker, but it ejects further north and gets its act together quicker than the gfs/cmc. Euro caved to the gfs numerous times last winter. I wonder who wins our first model battle this winter...
  23. Stevo6899
    Canadian seems confused on where the low strenghtens. Not much cold sector precip. Definitely gonna be a Rollercoaster on the models the next few days.
  24. Stevo6899
    I dunno, I was in florida and if there was anything of significance, I would've flown home. I doubt it was anything close to as strong as what models are depicting for this potential.
  25. Stevo6899
    Most people don't pull out the shovels for flurries and tenths of snow on sidewalks.
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