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Stevo6899

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Everything posted by Stevo6899

  1. Stevo6899
    Enjoy that -15 on those nipples in the morning chief.
  2. Stevo6899
    Yea dry air and virga worries me. Gonna be a sharp cutoff as always. I thought about flying back from Florida but for some reason this thing isn't getting me excited. Plus it's gonna be 80 down here the next 3 days.
  3. Stevo6899
    Rip twister cast.
  4. Stevo6899
    Pretty remarkable the differences between gfs and rgem. Rgem been consistently showing 10+ for most of the metro area.
  5. Stevo6899
    Man it's hard to look at those big totals taper off as you head NE. It seems either were battling precip issues or suppression.
  6. Stevo6899
    There haven't been many opportunities in recent winters but it's their go to play. Everytime they issue a headline, I picture them with their feet up, stuffing their faces with donuts, waiting for the hookers/strippers to arrive for the evening.
  7. Stevo6899
    This has dtx issuing a wwa then upgrading to a warning after 5 inches is already on the ground written all over it.
  8. Stevo6899
    Yea these scenarios always make me wonder if the low isn't that strong overall and the phasing is the only thing making this a storm. What's preventing the low from dropping below 1000 and kinda bombing/not transferring. Obviously beyond my meteorological knowledge. Cold high to the north shunting it?
  9. Stevo6899
    The problem with this is that the low pressure isn't that strong overall mb wise so it transfers pretty quickly to a coastal low, which will limit totals this far north. Further south into Ohio should still get some goods before the transfer. Fluid situation tho with Miller b's.
  10. Stevo6899
    Same but it's not gonna take much qpf to stack a foot. Pretty rare to get high ratio snow for a potential somewhat big dog.
  11. Stevo6899
    6z rgem is a thing of beauty. Gotta be record ratios.
  12. Stevo6899
    Def a huge jump towards cyclones map.
  13. Stevo6899
    Just had to sneak detroit into the warm sector. Tornado watch?
  14. Stevo6899
    Early run of Canadian 0z rgem, looks like Canadian gonna stay in the more phased, northern camp.
  15. Stevo6899
    The next 48 hours are a delicate time and anyone from south bend to say Pittsburgh is in play imo. We've seen 300+mile shifts several times in this time frame when phasing is involved.
  16. Stevo6899
    Yea you usually see these either miss the complete phase and slide more SE like the gfs, or you get a complete phase and wagons west. . More times than not, you get the former. West of apps or well east, no in-between track. Also the models struggle with phasing as we saw with the last storm that surprised the Detroit area and gave Toronto a foot plus. So many things have to go right timing wise so I'd guess we get more of a gfs track.
  17. Stevo6899
    Looks like macomb twp coming in at 4 inches. Snow depth has to be close to double digits there.
  18. Stevo6899
    Yea I was gonna say this might be the one time where even the kuchera maps may be under totals with ratios.
  19. Stevo6899
    Well when winters suck and are boring like they have been for years, there's nothing else to do on here than quibble back n forth with josh for fun.
  20. Stevo6899
    Still all kinds of time for indy/dtw to reel it in. Years ago these would almost always trend nw. Who knows anymore.
  21. Stevo6899
    Maybe an earlier phase and big nw jump last 12 hours like ghd1.
  22. Stevo6899
    That's me that says that, not josh. Dont poke the bear or he will stat you 6 feet into the ground.
  23. Stevo6899
    Gonna be a few spots that get 4-6 central oakland/macomb. No big dog but only fitting my backyard jackpots on back to back events when im not there. A true winter though I will say with the snow depth and temps incoming. Long overdue for a rough winter.
  24. Stevo6899
    Lack of big dog frustration along with him not getting laid since Thanksgiving.
  25. Stevo6899
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