Jump to content

NW_of_GYX

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    968

  • Joined

 Content Type 

Everything posted by NW_of_GYX

  1. NW_of_GYX
    stealing snow on that HRRR run. Good thing for the SNE weenies that model stinks at this lead
  2. NW_of_GYX
    others have mentioned already but that is a real deal -epo dump on the eps mid month. Winter arrives in that period for some of the spots in the lower 48 that have been so mild this season, SW Montana especially.
  3. NW_of_GYX
    Yup, great look at this lead
  4. NW_of_GYX
    I like the 13th period. GEFS mean cuts to the lakes but it's been very consistent on the OP runs except for a few runs yesterday. Transfers the low to the benchmark, cold air in Canada, I like that period for a region wide event.
  5. NW_of_GYX
    I mentioned yesterday it would be a few days before models had a handle on the CAD. That's a decently cold airmass in place prior and had the look of something models would underestimate until we got closer in.
  6. NW_of_GYX
    Im thinking longfellows like saddleback and sugarloaf. Whites not so much but it could change
  7. NW_of_GYX
    We’ve been on a remarkable string of these epic cutters going back to the Dec 20’ grinch event. It looks like dog shit as modeled but we’re still 5 days away. The mountains to my NW look to net gain and avoid getting washed away like they did 3 weeks ago at least.
  8. NW_of_GYX
    Yup, it's been consistent for days. 6 days out though and I suspect it will be a while before we get a handle on the strength of any CAD and timing of any secondary SLP. I'd feel good in the western Maine mountains and northern Maine. It snows where it should snow. SNE never had a shot at this.
  9. NW_of_GYX
    she gone for SNE. Still think we can make this work in my hood and points north. Too bad we've lost that earlier transfer on all models. Plenty of time to trend in the right direction though
  10. NW_of_GYX
    Nice to see the 13th-14th back on the GFS op. Would like to see some ensemble support for that.
  11. NW_of_GYX
    qp mega says that once the block retrogrades it connects with the SE ridge and we cut anyways. It always cuts in qd jamega's forecasts. Hopefully he wrong.
  12. NW_of_GYX
    weenie GFS run for these parts as well. What a monster out there in clown range on the CMC for the 13th-14th. GFS lost that system but maybe it comes back. We had a nice 3 week stretch that started last year on Jan 6. Can we do it again?
  13. NW_of_GYX
    Euro is gross but still think the 10th is the system to watch for NNE. Nice to see the follow up wave on the 14th still modeled out there in clown range
  14. NW_of_GYX
    Still think the 10th has best potential for NNE. Take my chances at this latitude with a high to the north and cold air lurking. Don’t like suppressed looks
  15. NW_of_GYX
    Let’s get some frost in the ground and then get that primary slp to transfer like the 12z gfs op shows for the 11th and then do it again on the 15th. Source region vastly improved by that point. That was the best run we’ve seen in a while for winter in the NE.
  16. NW_of_GYX
    From my perspective, none. Last year was the best skiing we’ve had locally since 18-19. The local snomo clubs on the other hand struggled with warm ground and water bars all season despite the AN snowfall. They could really use some help after the last few seasons, my area is about as far south as you can be with a snowmobiling economy that people still depend on for their livelihoods. For their sake I hope we get some cold
  17. NW_of_GYX
    No one has canceled anything, just discussing model outputs with the usual caveats. I’m tracking for this weekend and it’s worth keeping an eye on the 2nd-3rd period even down in SNE.
  18. NW_of_GYX
    Great post. The way this season is unfolding is so similar to last year. Anomalous warmth all last year too but we managed to go AN in snowfall. ENSO this ENSO that but without any cold in our source region the outcome doesn’t look much different.
  19. NW_of_GYX
    I follow some snowmobile accounts from Siberia on IG. They always have snow and cold but the last few seasons have been really good for them. Yesterday was the warmest day in western Siberia in weeks and weeks, but the cold still looks entrenched over there. I agree with others that it’s still a close the shades look for snow lovers in the NE. We may pull a few events in interior NNE but it’s uncanny similar to last year in terms of anomalous warmth, even with the PAC looking so different.
  20. NW_of_GYX
    no expert here but seems like SSTs are cooling in the area of the W PAC where the lack of a gradient has been theorized for the strange ENSO response. Still warm but you can start to see the gradient appearing in the W PAC
  21. NW_of_GYX
    It just doesn't snow in SNE anymore. Clown map yes, SNE snow weenies bridge jumping also yes.
  22. NW_of_GYX
    That overnight run takes out all the culverts getting replaced this week
  23. NW_of_GYX
    [emoji3504] Watch this reel https://www.facebook.com/reel/1287340709333173?fs=e&s=TIeQ9V&mibextid=LTILV2 now that is some damage
  24. NW_of_GYX
    It’s a fooking disaster out here in Western Maine. Add elevation and snowpack to 6” of rain you get this shit show. This is the 4th damaging rain event we’ve had in 12 months. Folks are tired
  25. NW_of_GYX
    Rotting at 35 degrees. NAM says we struggle to get to 40 and miss the dews. Cold cold rain incoming. Maybe we’ll have some snow left after this…
×
×
  • Create New...