NW_of_GYX

Appreciate the sentiment but not in Lewiston

Lee is massive no doubt. Still think winds underperform at my longitude and inland location though. Cool to see Sebago Lake light up on some of the higher res models though. GYX commented on the potential for winds south and east shores of the Lake.

I'm 200 miles from Eastport. The variable for damage here is wind direction and any downslope enhancement from the Whites. Fryeburg may gust higher than me. Not trying to downplay, there's gonna be outages and property damage but it's a hard forecast for mby. And obviously there's lot of time for this to go either direction. Model consensus right now says NAM is too far west.

NAM really is on it's own with Lee making landfall in Eastport. A few more tics east and this is meh for us.

My hope as well. NAM is also a lot further west than the globals fwiw. Not gonna matter for most folks in Maine but could make a difference for those of us a bit further west.

Ya that’s where my uncertainty comes from.

You might rock for a little bit on your hill. Not sure what to expect where I’m at.

Maine DOT obliterated

This summer, lock it. jfc wake me up in February

needle cast

Yesterday and today top 5 days all summer. Just incredible out there right now .

pouring, been under a flood warning all day. Gonna go grab a rare summer time white water run down one of the local creeks this evening. What a summer for white water boating in NNE.

Heard sirens immediately after. Lots of lighting with this one, hope everyone’s alright

Intense rates right now under this cell, sws issued for pea size hail

Pattern changes, still rains

Humid but nice here with some sun. Finally gulf of Maine dong is over someone else’s head https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-New_England-02-48-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

Beautiful evening NH lakes region .

This is our best imitation of winter 22-23 in the mountain west. Enjoy it

Just a nice big dong over my head

Right there with you dawg

Re EAB and browntail comments. The biocontrol aphid wasp species are showing promising signs in the Midwest of building up enough population to control EAB and allow for the next ash crop to grow. It’s now being released all over New England including Maine. There is no expectation that current ash on the landscape will survive, although the relative remoteness of ash stands across NNE will likely slow the burn. I used to get browntail rash all the time working on wood lots in the mid coast and people thought I was crazy, it’s since exploded everywhere including my town for the first time this year. The outbreak will likely bust at some point but entomologists have no idea when. Successive cool wet springs and falls would allow the build up of various pathogens and fungal diseases that reduce their populations. On a brighter note it seems the gypsy/spongy moth outbreak in my area has finally waned after 3 years of defoliation. Invasive pests and plants sure have changed our NE forest ecosystems from their pre contact predecessors.

While we’re at it, it would also be important to consider what if any impacts the recent i.e last 30 years of commercial timber management regimes in the far north has played here in terms of broad ecosystem impacts. Prior to the mid 80s nobody was cutting wood that far north into the Canadian Shield, that’s changed. Look at google earth, they’re cutting wood right up into the sub arctic. Point is, there are so many factors to consider. I don’t agree with attributing this to CC with blanket statements, as many have done. Who knows, maybe CC is the dominant driver, but we just can’t say that with certainty right now, there are too many other variables to consider.

Agreed on all parts. Anomalous weather phenomena can go both ways, and are used by folks to both affirm and deny CC. The danger in attributing weather events like this to CC is that it obscures the very real argument for CC based on long term trends and ya know, actual climatology.

The social media hype machine is blaming this on climate change. I’m no CC denier, and this is an incredible event no doubt, but there’s probably been smoke that thick in NYC at some point in the last 13,000 years.

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