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NW_of_GYX

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Everything posted by NW_of_GYX

  1. “Sea of warmth through mid Feb” where do people find this stuff. Does anyone look at models or is just feelings now
  2. Not what some on the Board want to hear but that warmup way out there in guidance keeps moderating and then cold does reload but this time the core is closer to us in Eastern Canada. Not a frigid look but could work for many. Folks expecting weeks of 2m temps below freezing in coastal SNE have unrealistic expectations of their climo imo.
  3. 1.5” in todays squall. Enough to get the plows out again here. Days and days of snow as they say
  4. Biggest difference is the SLP track through the GOM, Reggie backs it up and parks it. Thats what we want to see for Maine
  5. Wow radar really came together to the west. Nice little refresh vibes incoming
  6. Anddd we flipped. Right on schedule. Big bust on wind for inland CP as predicted well by others.
  7. Mix line is less than 5 miles to the south but we’re still heavy snow. At 32 degrees snow growth is poor, just measured 2.5”. Pasty scene out there
  8. This is trending windier than last system for mby but also more frozen and less warm sector. NAM keeps me frozen basically whole way through. 7” will get me to 2’ on the week, seems like outside shot of making it there. Other than the bs clean up on Wednesday not a bad stretch and more or less will catch me up to climo. Coastal flooding is concerning. Mainers are tough but the last 24 months has really tested our states emergency preparedness.
  9. another 4-6" of slop incoming and then warm sector. Not sure it helps local trails here unless we get some cold nights, hopefully that happens next week. Nice base builder for skiing however.
  10. I don’t think a branch moved here. No wind to speak of.
  11. 8.5” before the changeover. We pinged hard between 3-4 am. Most miserable snow clearing ever. Just so much water. I gave up and will let it drain
  12. What a massive storm this is, from Havana to James bay.
  13. Nothing like 7” 7:1 snow with an inch of water added to it for good measure. Should be a joy to clean up.
  14. Just measured 8” cold smoke so we’ll hit the low end of the GYX range, not sure about double digits but we’re under a little weenie band right now. Radar drops off quick to my north. Photo from about 1 pm today .
  15. From GYX AFD for the 10th: The system`s cold front/occlusion reaching the coast will likely kick off secondary cyclogenesis there, providing a mechanism to support a CAD in the western Maine mountains and lakes/foothills region southeast of the mountains... at least initially. Overall I`m expecting this to be a more wintry storm than other strong, dynamic storms experienced this season thus far with some real winners (foot-plus) possible across the mountains in terms of snowfall. But, there still remains potential for heavy rainfall rates which could lead to some hydrological issues...and significant uncertainty as to how the rain/snow line will develop. It appears as though winds will again be a widespread concern, though perhaps not to the degree (and very likely not to the duration) of Dec 18. This is certainly the storm to track for widespread, significant impacts during this forecast period. Stay tuned.
  16. 13th no bueno verbatim but at this point just glad to see it there still
  17. gives the berks some front end snow but that's about it. Others have said that this is still worth watching for SNE but I would hedge against that. This one's for NNE IMO, and it may be for far NNE. time will tell
  18. high doesn't retreat as fast and helps the cold press, similar to earlier runs before yesterdays melt. I expect this to waffle some more but today's trends are undeniable
  19. GFS coming in colder for the 10th, looks more like euro. Whites crushed on the front end
  20. let's get that weenie fronto band back to my hood on sunday afternoon. 3k and HRRR aligned with two areas of heaviest QPF.
  21. dumps the core of the negative height anomalies further west as the block retrogrades
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