Kmlwx

How about keeping the storm thread to the storm...and not this whole tired/old debate about the ethics of finding weather interesting. There's a banter thread, after all. 

15 minutes ago, mattie g said:

Does NHC still only fly the 130s or are they utilizing something like Global Hawk, as well?

https://psl.noaa.gov/psd2/coastal/satres/ghawk_dropsonde.html

Pair of TEAL callsign flights (WC-130Js) heading over the Bahamas right now enroute to forward deploy for recon into Lee in the coming days.

TEAL82 and TEAL83 tracking over the Bahamas right now heading to forward deploy for their recon missions during the upcoming days for Lee. 

5 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

If it doesn’t pass through the first Hebert box, color me skeptical about EC potential

Aren't the Hebert Boxes mainly for S Florida?

NEXRAD data from the NWS is free for all. No licensing. However, the data feeds that NWS provides to apps like Radarscope are often just data - it's up to Radarscope or each individual provider to do color tables, and which products to offer. At the heart of it - Level 2 data, for example is just zeroes and ones until somebody makes it pretty.

Probably not a 100% 1:1 solution for what you're looking for but there may be a lesser known site around that could do something similar. 

25 minutes ago, WxSynopsisDavid said:

If my memory serves me correct, Cape Verde storms that intensify quicker and much sooner before getting to the Lesser Antilles typically track more to the south. If I'm wrong, someone correct me please.

A more intense storm is more likely to be pulled poleward and thus out to sea versus a weaker one. This is why some storms that have had significant trouble organizing have ended up unexpectedly going into the Caribbean instead of on an E coast threatening trajectory or ots. 

43 minutes ago, mattie g said:

^

It was really thoughtful of the guy at 2:30 to put his blinker on when he turned into the parking lot.

Gotta make sure Idalia knew his intentions! 

If you are just looking for basic radar - use the NWS LWX site and it is on there. Though you won't have a lot of options for different product types. Radarscope is best-in-class for mobile and if you are a higher end enthusiast you could also get GR2 or GR3 products on PC. 

NEXRAD is not a term specific to Wunderground - it's just what WSR-88D was referred to (is?)

6 minutes ago, Normandy said:

It’s not unreasonable.  Guidance that keeps this away from the Yucatan have a strong system hitting land.  If the low stays offshore and has 90 hours over water, getting a strong to major hurricane isn’t even a high ceiling.  Let’s see how it plays out though I staked my claim and the crow may come!

I don't think anybody said "unreasonable" 

It's simply too early to start making calls like "110mph into Tampa" 

Northern edge might scrape me. 

Fauquier County appears to be the place to be if you want rain right now. 

Little boundary visible on the TIAD radar moving south between the IAD radar and the LWX radar. A few isolated showers popping up as well in Northern Virginia. 

It's soupy, at least...72 dewpoint here but 76 degrees for the air temp. 

Most guidance seems to have some isolated showers/storms this afternoon...but much of the guidance for the metro area is pretty weak sauce. Not expecting anything major. Might get a rogue warning or two I guess. 

Interesting boundary collision happened near Travilah it looks like. Didn't result in anything thus far. 

1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said:

It's over for Montgomery

I think you're right for severe. But we may see some showers or thundershowers scrape by as the activity down in VA passes by to our south. Look at the litle showers on the northern end of that stuff. Western MoCo probably done for anything though. 

Actually getting bright sun right now in Colesville despite that precip being just a HAIR east of me. 

The Gordonsville area storm down in VA looks like the beefy one of the day...maybe some weak rotation on it too. 

Nice outflow presentation on the LWX radar from the stuff crossing the Potomac. Outflow out to the north and south. 

The stuff down near Madison/Orange/and CHO looks decent. 

Little shower now trying to fire up near Rockville. 

Activity running from Calverton, VA up to Manassas is growing nicely. 

Left moving supercell parameter is doing better than the normal supercell composite parameter. Also parameters as a whole seem JUICED along and east of a line pretty much bisecting MoCo running SW to NE generally. 

And yeah that 16z run of the HRRR is robust. 

Seems like in this setup there may only be one or two dominant cells but they may be INTENSE ones. 

Little cells/showers showing up SW of Warrenton now. Would think that's the activity models have been keying in on. We'll what it does.