ORH_wxman

Thought the exact same thing....why do we care if the model is drastically changing at day 7-8 down to day 3-4? That is actually to be expected.

That means this year will be like 2012 too

On the flip side, just keep the dews low and dry out the soil so your drive rolls 150 yards. I hit a 400 yard drive down on the Cape in late June 1999 (very dry that month)...had a 9 iron into the par 5. Stuck it to 2 feet and then missed it.

It's a select cult in here that loves high dewpoints. Most people don't like them. We actually ran a poll in this subforum several years back and lower dewpoints overwhelmingly won. I can't stand them either. Utterly useless unless I'm at a pool party or something. They suck for biking, golfing, hiking, and being outside with my boys in the backyard. I'll take 80/50 all summer long if offered.

Looks like a nuclear crater outside here. Unlike tropical Tolland, we don't have any fragile plants growing yet.

Frost everywhere this morning. Two mornings in a row.

Dec '92 came close....obviously right near the shore didn't get feet upon feet...but you didn't have to go too far inland to get 25+ and then parts of the ORH hills approached 40" (actually achieving 40" in Princeton, MA). I agree you achieve a limit at some point....simple physics of the colder profile holding less water vapor. That said, we're only talking like 1C in the column here for places that got 6" of QPF, so you could certainly envision something like 50" if you get a marginally colder December 1992 storm. There's also likely some sort of asymmetry to reaction of the flow on the colder profile too....meaning, how less likely is a big stall and cutoff when you have a colder profile? Usually a colder profile has more of the polar jet involved which will inherently try to make the flow more progressive. Either way, the theoretical discussion is interesting. My personal educated guess on it is that our upper bound is somewhere in the 50" range. Maybe slightly higher for orographic assisted locations. We've seen amounts near 50" in the 1888 storm back west of here down at low elevation and of course some areas likely exceeded 40" in the '78 storm. You can imagine scenarios where a little more was squeezed out.

Nah, these days we get garbage snow events post 4/15.

I think they had about 20" in the highest spots in NE CT....but yeah, def not the 30+ further northeast. It was the overnight stuff they missed out on the most after about 2-3am I think....it was insane rates over eastern areas for those next 4-5 hours.

Here's some old files I have of that one

I'd be shocked if we didn't surpass 3" of QPF in ORH in reality. We had over 30" of snow after several hours of moderate to heavy rain.

Also classic Mark Rosenthal....he loved the 3 piece suit but often shed the jacket going straight vest look, lol.

That’s great. The storm rapidly deepened faster than they thought and the changeover was sooner. They were mostly talking about an afternoon changeover in ORH and evening/night time in BOS. But we flipped by 10am in ORH and BOS area was flipped by early/mid afternoon.

When we refinanced, we had home insurance left out of the mortgage payment. We just pay it as a lump sum once per year now. I don’t think we could get the tax escrow removed though because that’s the bank’s insurance against you not paying. Most mortgaged homes don’t go to tax sale anyway and the bank will advance money to prevent a sale, but many don’t want to even bother with the possibility so they require the tax escrow.

Happened to us 2 years ago, but yeah, it wasn’t a massive difference per month like Tauntonblizz. I think our payment increased by about a hundred bucks. We refinanced last summer at 3.2% and saved double that.

There will definitely still be some stragglers that are remote. I think it was already decided that people can opt out the whole year back in the beginning. I think they’ll be able to resume physical labs though when in-person goes full again. It’s definitely going to be a lost year for some students which is terrible. My oldest son goes into kindergarten next year so hopefully they are fully back to normal by then. We’ve been lucky that his daycare has been functioning relatively normal during this so he’s been able to get lots of social interaction with his peer group. Only the dropoff and pickup procedures were drastically altered. Masks were only required for the teachers at daycare too, but most of my son’s pre-K class wear them (minus snack, lunch, and nap times) so he’s gotten some practice. My 18 month old toddler obviously doesn’t wear one. Luckily in my town, the elementary school kids have been full time all school year. They just have to wear masks though. Hopefully those are gone by fall but I wouldn’t be shocked if they aren’t. At least we won’t really have to worry about any remote learning. It’s especially damaging to the younger elementary aged students.

My wife’s school district (Walpole high school) has been hybrid all year. Students go about half the days in person and half remote. They are going back to full in-person the 2nd week of April.

Went skiing at Keystone and A-Basin in April 1993....was pretty amazing how strong that sun is. Also, there was basically no snow until about 8,000 feet elevation and then by 9,500-10,000 feet (really high base elevations at those resorts) it was basically full-on winter, however, that sun angle was brutal. The first day we were there we got mild sunburn even though my dad was careful to put sunscreen on our faces. It was pleasant around 35-40F for highs and dry. Then the next day we got hit by a raging powder blizzard that dumped 20 inches of snow. When we skied A-basin the day after, you couldn't be outside without goggles or sun glasses. The fresh snow with the April sun angle was unbearable without them.

We always find a way to keep busy in here with busted severe threats and under-performing heat waves.

Yeah it's out of here by like midnight on a lot of guidance now. It was supposed to be an event that lasted into Friday morning originally. Then it was mostly 06z to 09z for the heavy snow. Now all that moisture is gone. The cold air wasn't delayed at all...if anything, the press is too strong and it's shoving the moisture SE.

NAM actually has no snow at all now...maybe some flakes on the Cape?

Yeah like 3/30-4/3 or so could produce a threat if that look holds.

I’d prob go 1-3” based on the overnight runs. The precip is moving out very quickly on those runs. We’ll see if it reverts back a bit on the 12z stuff but if not, then I’d be surprised if anyone got more than 3”.

I was just going to comment how the off hour runs have consistently been pretty meh while the primary runs have jacked up amounts.

Lol nice scooter jack on the rap. Not buying that distribution though.