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ORH_wxman

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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. ORH_wxman
    Lol at all the posts waxing poetic about no more cold/snow. Most people probably don’t even realize that 2018-2019 was actually below normal temps….nevermind years like 2014-2015 or 2013-2014
  2. ORH_wxman
    I mean, 0.05 QPF in either direction will make a big deal…lol…difference between going from maybe an inch to a dusting or flakes to getting 2” of fluff. It’s a crappy little clipper that would probably get about 5 posts if it weren’t Xmas Eve.
  3. ORH_wxman
    What a NWP disaster. That’s not even close and it’s a 60-72 hour prog.
  4. ORH_wxman
    We had some light icing on the morning of Xmas 1997. I don’t think we’ve had a moderate or larger icing event in Xmas to my knowledge though.
  5. ORH_wxman
    It’s drying up a bit on guidance but you should still get an inch or so would be my guess. It’s more problematic further east. Hopefully it overperforms a bit.
  6. ORH_wxman
    I don’t think youre hitting 40s with a weak sfc low traveling south of SNE. Maybe if it’s sunny you’ll hit 40F, lol…but not on Xmas day if it remains cloudy.
  7. ORH_wxman
    Lol. Let’s see if we can get the euro to show dry on 12/26 while GFS has dendrite playing naked twister with ptype line.
  8. ORH_wxman
    Both icon and rgem have nada for 12/26. GFS will be interesting.
  9. ORH_wxman
    You’re prob fine in SE MA….maybe really early morning there could be a few icy spots in interior SE MA. But most of the ice looks more deeper interior and by Xmas evening it’s mostly ORH county and over to Essex county actually.
  10. ORH_wxman
    Nice little reach-around for Bos and north shore on the NAM on 12/26…..clown model.
  11. ORH_wxman
    Gonna have to watch for ZR Xmas day over the interior. NAM and 3k are both still showing this possibility. Doesn’t look like a lot of precip or anything but with people visiting family it could cause some nasty back road conditions…only takes a little.
  12. ORH_wxman
    87-88 was good. 88-89 through 91-921 we’re about as bad as it gets…Nov/Dec 89 maybe the exception.
  13. ORH_wxman
    I think about 60% of the posts this morning need to be moved to here:
  14. ORH_wxman
    06z euro juiced up some. Has a decent area over 0.10” qpf for late tonight/early tomorrow.
  15. ORH_wxman
    I feel like Xmas could actually have ZR over the interior for a while.
  16. ORH_wxman
    You are actually in a decent spot for later tonight and early tomorrow.
  17. ORH_wxman
    18z euro juiced Xmas Eve a tad more. Really south of the pike where it has a nice little stripe of 1-2”.
  18. ORH_wxman
    Yeah I’m completely tossing it until anything else agrees even remotely.
  19. ORH_wxman
    That system was a lot different BTW...it was really strong WAA push. This one is really a weak clipper.
  20. ORH_wxman
    You might be thinking of 2005...that one happened pre-dawn Tday and ended early/mid morning.
  21. ORH_wxman
    EPS finally beat down the SE ridge a bit by first week of Jan. Should be a little more accommodating to coastal systems/Miller Bs with that look....don't confuse it with an El Nino or anything, because the SE ridge is still there, it's just much weaker and that would allow us to redevelop a few of these systems and also lessen the shredding.
  22. ORH_wxman
    Yeah in eastern areas, it might not get above 35 or so....depending on when the skies clear out. Some guidance kept it below freezing, but even the Euro had like 33-34F at 18z over most of eastern SNE...SW CT got into the low 40s though.
  23. ORH_wxman
    Yeah and they will...they are both at extreme levels over the next 7 days.
  24. ORH_wxman
    We'd probably have a week of 65F and tropical downpours with parakeets arriving at bird feeders if we didn't have that monster block...that western trough is very deep. Tip is right that the block is also shredding shortwaves, but if they weren't, they'd be serving us Pina Coladas on the express tropical jet from Havana Cuba.
  25. ORH_wxman
    Euro throwing us a bone as the ball drops.
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