ORH_wxman
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman
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It’s amazing how much difference there is now not just in the actual track but also the speed. Some runs stall it for hours down near the island or the cape and some runs just rip it north east before even trying to capture it.
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It would be funny if after all the improvement the GFS has shown, it still completely gags on a huge coastal.
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Reggie had the Brady Anderson 50 HR season in 2015 but id still rather see it trend better than not.
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The euro coming in slightly better is a big deal imho to offset the earlier 18z trend. The euro has superior initialization so whatever the other guidance was “seeing”, it clearly didn’t affect the euro adversely. It doesn’t mean it’s right, but it makes me feel better about this not being some golden nugget piece of data that was ingested at 18z.
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We’re considering it. Staff will vote on it later.
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This run was quite a bit better for NNE peeps from your area to Phin. Seemed to curl that moisture back a lot better.
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You might give edh1981 a run for his money with this map.
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The end result looked slightly better than 12z.
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Yeah I actually think this might end up better than 12z. But there’s like 3 different trends I’m trying to follow.
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That TPV is actually lifting a bit faster. So who knows…lol.
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Actually the northern stream looks a little worse by 48h. It’s potent but it’s diving down a little shallower angle. So this will tickle east I think.
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18z euro actually looks like it might be more amped through 36h. Lol. We’ll see what happens here in the next few frames.
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Yes. You ant totally ignore them.
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Well he does own the Rams and they are playing the Rams this weekend. Coincidence? I think not….
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I’d feel good in E Ma still. For central areas it’s pucker time… For western areas you just gave up the go ahead TD with 13 seconds left. Better hope Mahomes shows up at 00z.
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I have PTSD from Feb ‘89. It was my first massive bust as a young snow weenie as we had just moved back up from Texas.
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18z GFS is already trying. It’s possible it turns into a pseudo overunning deal.
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Yeah that was actually a good trend. Though they were so bad at 12z I was wondering if they could trend any worse.
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Yeah this is a southern stream juicer and they typically go through a period of amping up on model guidance between like D3-36 hours. But obviously that doesn’t have to happen every single time if there’s something else offsetting it.
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That is starting to become a serious problem. I noted it a couple days ago when I mentioned the trough was starting to get a little “pinched” at the top. Now it’s threatening to really screw this up.
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GFS is actually a little faster with southern stream through 24h.
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Yeah but weighed against all the other more-skilled guidance strongly suggests that it is.
