ORH_wxman

It was a widespread 6-12” for SNE.

My guess is many were secretly starting to get attached to the thought of a 20-burger storm after yesterday’s Euro and all other guidance had been trending better too. The natural inclination is to sort of expect it to keep trending better so when it reverts back to a more “mundane” 8-12 inch type event, it produces a sense of disappointment. It’s hard not to get attached to big solutions…esp when it comes from the Euro inside of 6 days. I’ll add that it’s still possible we see some bigger totals. That trailing shortwave was close on some of the 12z runs today so far.

Don’t see a solution I hate yet at 12z.

E MA crushed. IVT really hangs on there.

Borderline moderate in the terminus of these echoes. Really good flakes.

Wow congrats!

Logan is about to drop. Seeing some upper 20s in Revere now on mesonet

Lol we just dropped like a rock…25.3F and dropping fast.

As long as people are realistic about this storm, I think at the moment things look pretty good. You gotta let go of the HECS idea though if any of you are still thinking it’s likely…that isn’t happening unless that second shortwave speeds up today and we start seeing that phased solution again. But this can still be a major storm…things need to go right for that. At the moment, I’m just trying to get a minimal warning event in here.

Beer?

Yeah that is racing now. Lot of mesonets dropping like 3F in 30 min

Maybe 1.5” of crud? It made bigger piles than 5-6” of fluff, lol

This stuff coming from the east is straight snow. Not a single pellet mixed in with this

Man snow (and sleet lol)

06z eps looking good. Maybe a little north of 00z

Steady light snow mixed with sleet. There’s a lot of dendrites in this stuff. Must be pretty cold below the warm layer with plenty of salt nuclei to produce this type of precip. Temp down to 29

GEM destroys BOS.

Yeah the block is holding it north of Maine instead of allowing it to just march east.

Rocky IV was on TV a couple nights ago so I was texting with scooter making fun of those analogies about winter.

If Apollo Creed was winter 2022-23 and the -PNA was Drago, this storm is Rocky out for revenge. “I’m seeing change. If you can change, and I can change, this winter can still change!”

Icon looks like it’s gonna be another fun solution

1/27/11 was actually an A. Hit DC pretty good with thundersnow I remember. But it developed relatively slowly down south so it wasn’t maxing out down near DC. More like northern Mid-Atlantic into SE SNE.

Starting to get pavement stickage. Down to 31.5

I want to see this continue through 12z runs tomorrow before I start chucking weenies. The trend today was obviously very potent and that is meaningful, but there is still enough lead time that average model error from this point can still screw us.

Block is pretty east-based on this storm. Not really worried about big suppression.