ORH_wxman

And that includes ensembles. Literally 2 cycles ago we had a ton of hits on ensembles for next week and most of them evaporate within a run or two. Conversely, we have seen some events come back after losing them (1/18-19 did…AI remained more enthused and was correct)

There’s this weird pendulum in here where one group tries to push “end of winter”, “back broken”, etc etc…and then another group that pushes deep winter until 4/1. Let’s just call it what it is…moderation on temps (Second half of February does this most years) but 90% of this forum only cares about snow…so what about snow? Well, next week maybe a light event mid-week and then the weekend remains in limbo. If model performance since late January is any indication, I wouldn’t feel comfortable about saying anything beyond D5-6 right now. It’s been really bad consistency.

ORH used to have that problem. Not as much these days but check out some of their old reports from the 2000s and 2010s. Some of the storms are like 50 to 1 ratios.

Yeah unless they change the F6 data then I’d go 5.4. Id prob hedge higher anyway since they had 4.2” at 1pm and got smoked for a while. I thought they’d finish with 6”+.

Euro rotates an IVT down too over the Cape…but the main event is pretty paltry. Maybe an inch.

Yep not quite done yet on south shore and cape

4.5” but this is without clearing. Might have maybe squeaked 4.8-5” if I cleared after the midnight-6am batch.

Upper Cape about to get it. Tblizz too

Absolutely nuking still but about to slip east

Absolutely nuking in this 495 band (just inside 495). Best rates of the day. Should blow past 4” soon if we haven’t already

This band back by 495 is pounding

Weymouth walloper

2/15/15 look on the radar there. Kind of convective like that system.

Scooter gonna get 5-6” in 90 minutes out of that. Lol Nice band ramping back up for 495. Snowing really good back at home here

Has a bunch of threats in clown range…what a cold pattern in the 11-15.

BOS getting crushed now. Scooter will get that stuff too

At a birthday party with my youngest in Franklin MA and it’s ripping in this band in western Norfolk county

That obscene convective blob near Cape Ann and Marblehead is trying to drift into BOS. Wonder if they can go to poundtown for an hour or two

Metrowest between 128/495 trying to light up now. @ma blizzard just east of or ORH getting destroyed Still can’t get over Cape Ann…that convective thing is not moving very fast

I think someone there will be in the 16-20” range for sure when it’s done. You already about a foot in spots.

Def a convective look around Cape Ann

Some of the totals on the North Shore are gonna be crazy. Just getting annihilated.

Might get enhanced a bit as the arctic front approaches. You can see all the stuff starting to fill in too in metrowest

Cape Ann getting crushed now. whiteout in ORH now too.

You might get an hour or two of real good stuff here