VOLtage

Finally starting to sleet

Still nothing here yet. Just rain.

If the current trends hold, MRX may have to extend the WSW's farther west to include the Valley.

Big flakes in Lenoir city right now.

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 251932Z - 252100Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Convection is expected to gradually intensify this afternoon. A few low-topped supercells could develop and pose a hail/tornado risk. Convective trends will be monitored over the next 1-2 hours. DISCUSSION...Water-vapor imagery shows a mid-level low slowly migrating eastward near the OH/MS River confluence. Visible satellite imagery shows low clouds eroding across southern portions of middle and eastern TN in wake of earlier showers. Surface temperatures have warmed into the middle to upper 60s F near Chattanooga in response to stronger surface heating. Surface dewpoints remain relatively marginal and range in the lower to middle 50s F. A couple of weak convective bands are forming across middle TN. It remains uncertain whether developing updrafts will become surface-based and intensify into organized/sustained storms. However, model guidance indicates sufficient buoyancy may develop over the next few hours for at least an isolated risk for strong to severe thunderstorms. If a few stronger updrafts manage to develop, forecast hodographs favor storm organization, including the possibility for a few of these updrafts to acquire supercell characteristics. Therefore it appears an increasing risk for strong-storm activity will materialize at least on an isolated basis later this afternoon. Hail and possibly a tornado may accompany the stronger storms.

Sure enough, those western storms are really firing up.

Keeping an eye on those cells to the West.

Absolutely.

Seems like the storm has weakened and the Tornado Warning has been dropped thankfully.

There is a neighborhood and RV park according to Google Maps.

The residential areas north of Rosepine, LA are going to take a direct hit unless the tornado lifts.

What a monster

Seven Oaks may take a direct hit

Very clear debris sig on CC

Tornado Warning TXC373-455-222330- /O.NEW.KHGX.TO.W.0015.200422T2245Z-200422T2330Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 545 PM CDT Wed Apr 22 2020 The National Weather Service in League City has issued a * Tornado Warning for... East central Trinity County in southeastern Texas... Central Polk County in southeastern Texas... * Until 630 PM CDT. * At 545 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located near Sebastopol, or 18 miles northwest of Livingston, moving east at 40 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. * The tornado will be near... Seven Oaks around 610 PM CDT. Corrigan around 615 PM CDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Moscow and Leggett. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Heavy rainfall may hide this tornado. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

That storm in Texas almost has a donut shape to it.

Tornado Warning OKC005-013-222330- /O.NEW.KOUN.TO.W.0020.200422T2239Z-200422T2330Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Norman OK 539 PM CDT Wed Apr 22 2020 The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northeastern Bryan County in southeastern Oklahoma... South central Atoka County in southeastern Oklahoma... * Until 630 PM CDT. * At 539 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located near Armstrong, moving east at 30 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. * Locations impacted include... Caddo, Bokchito, Bennington, Kenefic and Armstrong. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, an extremely dangerous and potentially deadly tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a storm shelter, safe room or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

Purvis could sustain a direct hit.

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Morristown TN 1132 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2020 TNC065-130345- /O.CON.KMRX.TO.W.0010.000000T0000Z-200413T0345Z/ Hamilton TN- 1132 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2020 ...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR OOLTEWAH AND COLLEGEDALE... ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM EDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON COUNTY... At 1131 PM EDT, a confirmed large and destructive tornado was located near Cohutta, or 7 miles northeast of Ringgold, moving east at 45 mph. TORNADO EMERGENCY for OOLTEWAH AND COLLEGEDALE. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...Deadly tornado. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction is possible. Locations impacted include... Collegedale, Ooltewah and Apison. This includes Interstate 75 in Tennessee between mile markers 10 and 13. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous, and potentially deadly tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If in a mobile home, a vehicle or outdoors, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM EDT FOR CENTRAL POLK COUNTY... At 1013 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located 8 miles southeast of Benton, moving northeast at 65 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Law enforcement confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Archville. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

Confirmed tornado on the ground in Polk county

That is nightmare fuel.

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Central and Southern Alabama Southeast Mississippi * Effective this Sunday afternoon from 440 PM until Midnight CDT. ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION... * Primary threats include... Numerous tornadoes expected with a few intense tornadoes likely Widespread large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter likely Widespread damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...Intense supercells over southern Mississippi will track northeastward across the watch area. The most intense storms will be capable of strong to violent tornadoes, very large hail, and damaging winds afternoon and evening. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles south of Meridian MS to 35 miles south southeast of Anniston AL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 106...WW 107...WW 108...WW 109... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25035.

Wow

You hit the nail on the head here. I just checked the CIPS analogs and that comes up as the 2nd most similar to this scenario.