VOLtage

Finally starting to sleet

Still nothing here yet. Just rain.

If the current trends hold, MRX may have to extend the WSW's farther west to include the Valley.

Big flakes in Lenoir city right now.

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 251932Z - 252100Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Convection is expected to gradually intensify this afternoon. A few low-topped supercells could develop and pose a hail/tornado risk. Convective trends will be monitored over the next 1-2 hours. DISCUSSION...Water-vapor imagery shows a mid-level low slowly migrating eastward near the OH/MS River confluence. Visible satellite imagery shows low clouds eroding across southern portions of middle and eastern TN in wake of earlier showers. Surface temperatures have warmed into the middle to upper 60s F near Chattanooga in response to stronger surface heating. Surface dewpoints remain relatively marginal and range in the lower to middle 50s F. A couple of weak convective bands are forming across middle TN. It remains uncertain whether developing updrafts will become surface-based and intensify into organized/sustained storms. However, model guidance indicates sufficient buoyancy may develop over the next few hours for at least an isolated risk for strong to severe thunderstorms. If a few stronger updrafts manage to develop, forecast hodographs favor storm organization, including the possibility for a few of these updrafts to acquire supercell characteristics. Therefore it appears an increasing risk for strong-storm activity will materialize at least on an isolated basis later this afternoon. Hail and possibly a tornado may accompany the stronger storms.

This was an absolute worst-case scenario with it being a strong tornado, late at night, and a heavily populated area. Praying for Nashville right now.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0033.html

https://www.wbir.com/article/weather/the-national-weather-service-confirms-two-tornadoes-formed-friday-in-blount-county/51-b6ec5681-4a7d-4d80-8bca-a9d7f76fe9dc

Done

Tomorrow's going to be nasty for East Tennessee (where I live unfortunately).

Keeping a close eye on the line of cells in middle/north Alabama right now. If they don't fizzle out, these could affect the East TN valley.

They had better get their act together on an active day like today.

Here's my recorded rainfall since 12:00AM this morning here in Maryville. Here's the recorded rainfall each day of the past week. Adding up the total for each day comes out to 8.52 inches of total rainfall over the past week with more to come tonight.

They just issued a PDS Flash Flood Warning for Knox county. The National Weather Service in Morristown has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Knox County in east Tennessee... * Until 130 PM EST. * At 1036 AM EST, emergency management reported heavy rain across the warned area. Up to 3 inches of rain have already fallen over the last 3 to 4 hours with an additional 1 to 2 inches possible over the next 2 hours. Flash flooding is already occurring. This is a FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY for Knoxville. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW! * Some locations that will experience flooding include... Knoxville, Oak Ridge, Alcoa, Farragut, Louisville, Plainview, Halls, Blaine, Karns, Kimberlin Heights, House Mountain State Park, Lake Forest, Maloneyville, Mascot, Bearden, Powell and Seymour. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Move to higher ground now. This is an extremely dangerous and life-threatening situation. Do not attempt to travel unless you are fleeing an area subject to flooding or under an evacuation order.

There's tornado warnings and a winter weather advisory going on simultaneously in Southwest Missouri. I don't know if I've seen anything like that before.