Ruin

3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

We are talking about potential snows 3-5 days away (2 snows). 

im talking about what im seeing overall like 13 16 and i think the early 20s time frame not really here. but like last nights storm we were never in the snow but i dont even think we got rain. the ground wasnt even damp when i got up at 6

I hurts me that people are now grasping at storms 2 to almost 3 weeks out. we all want snow but sadly it isnt the year  

7 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

They always do

im talking about the ones who normally dont have snow all year round also lower elevations 

9 hours ago, snownut said:

My 8th full year in the west and the cascades to my west have always had snow. 

(glaciers are common here in the 3 sisters bowls 25 miles to my west) 

So many of the higher western mountains have snow year round.  Washington State stays pretty solid snow covered in many areas. The snow cover diminishes north to south with CA mountains snow melting out "pretty" fast. 

Deep snow packs are common in June. Several mountain roads don't get plowed open until late May and usually are closed again in early November. 

I skied here July 3rd in 2017 at Mt Bachelor with 3-5 feet still above 8,500 feet   

Only in August & September are my views mostly rocky looking.   

If you love snow, moderately cold winters its hard to match the higher mountains in the west.  Lots of "snowbirds" here that go to AZ or Palm Spring areas during the long winters. The locals joke that we have 9 months of winter and 3 months of summer.  Reality it depends on location. You can easily ski in the morning, golf, bike or even lounge by the pool on a sunny May day with temps in the 70's.  And that can happen 15 miles apart! 

the mountains that normally dont have snow all year round is what im saying 

15 minutes ago, Siberian-Snowcover-Myth said:

I heard today that the California Mountains have received 46 FEET of snow this winter so far. Another 2-3 feet expected this week.

some mountains will have snow till next winter they were saying 

1 hour ago, mappy said:

Can’t say I blame them. Someone mentioned this over the weekend, I think, that models have been “losing” nice east coast storms in the mid range, they end up cutters cause the ridge just won’t let up. It’s been tough for long range forecasts all winter. 

the cutters are really bad this year yes. but for the last few seasons for winter forecasts models are way off as well as temps esp when they say 2 weeks form now very cold and a few days before they push temps back up delay the cold for a week and it happens all over again.

1 hour ago, mappy said:

Ok. It seems like you’re frustrated, but maybe I am interpreting wrong. Forecasting is hard.

no just the fact they say one thing on my local but models that are followed by the country they dont look too at all and they model hug in house models 

18 minutes ago, mappy said:

To be fair, climate prediction center was only predicting a 30-50% chance of below normal temps for next week

thats what im saying no one knows what the fuck is going on. they have mid 40s or higher for the next 10 days and no sign of any snow maybe showers of rain on the day we are looking at the storm

my local news weather guys are not buying the cold air below normal at all they have me at average or slightly above now lol.

22 minutes ago, Ji said:

It's 14 below average smh

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this is what I dont get the forecast for this timeframe says much below normal temp was the latest outlook for temps my average is 45 this shows me in low 40s thats not much below normal at all. unless something change much below normal. normally means 10 degrees or so?

I wish people would stop fighting about locations we all want snow when its said and done I wish all of us a cold a snowy week that we all get about 18 inchs.

sadly i said this 2-3 days ago watch this shit be a cutter then more and more signs of a cutter are coming. we also wont get any of this cold the models tried to say we would. storms will go way west and torch us all to the east 

1 hour ago, Chris78 said:

This time of year with blocking , if a low tracks south of us it will be cold enough to snow. Low 40s and sun turns into low 30s if there's a system taking a good track for us.

I know just the way shits going 

24 minutes ago, jaydreb said:

EPS favors a NW track.  
 

sadly the damn story of this year north west ends up to a apps cutter then to a lake cutter im tired of this and the south east ridge. one of my local news weather forecasts is saying for the so called cold period isnt cold at all the lowest temps they have for extended forecast is 43. meaning slightly below average but most of the highs are mid 40s to upper 40s and for the told frame of this storm they have mid 50s for southern PA. so yeah sadly if this goes north west its gonna start to torch

sigh this is just sad lol big ass flip flop from cold east warmer west to now im many models warm east powerful south east ridge and us torching to the west being cold again with storms 

all this talk about cold and snow watch the storm be a lake cutter and torch us with 80s 

wait so now its all 

4 minutes ago, jayyy said:

Better outcome as it pertains to our prospects for the PSU wave (wave #2) No mega storm in the plains to breakdown the pattern. At least we have that. Trying to keep it positive.

damn so now its all rain ??? 

1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Hot damn!

when was the last time we saw a 960ish snow storm? shit when was the last time we got a triple phaser 

53 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

 i referenced boxing day 2010 to CAPE for a reason (altho that would be bad for him too where he had the save he mentioned in that one that most of us didn't get)

the snow hole can get bent 

5 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:

46 and scattered clouds here.

 

Latest GFS paints 20" of QPF for Mammoth CA in March. Euro is much "drier" with only about 8" of QPF. Even is the Euro is correct, that's likely another 10' of snow in the next 30 days. By that point I'll be 7 weeks from my trip. In town they've now received 524" of snow with a current snow cover of a staggering 203". 

 

heard some one state on the weather part of the next they could have snow on most of the higher mountains till next winter 

19 minutes ago, DarkSharkWX said:

if only the euro ran out for a bit longer

and if it went out any longer it would be way worse long range mode heh

1 hour ago, Heisy said:

Agreed, i think 14-16th period looks fantastic, my
Negativity today was more towards this 10-11th range where we saw the euro yesterday blow up an event because it ejected the energy out west faster.

Tonight GFS still not pushing energy along. Canadian does but it’s kind of sloppy. GFS still looks solid as we move beyond the 11th…




.

set up looks good now 2 plus weeks out then something shits the bed and it will end up near normal or above normal. it always says cold 2 weeks out then it gets pushed back or it moderates as we get closer to the event.

1 hour ago, brooklynwx99 said:

holy shit

what?

On 2/21/2023 at 11:38 PM, Ji said:

This storm was 12-16 inches a few days ago heading south and east towards Hatteras

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always turns into a stupid lake cutter

fuck this the worst ever is to have a thump of snow then warms up rains goes away would rather have spring at this point