Ruin

1 minute ago, Deer Whisperer said:

No you really should

Nah I don't think I will so move on now.

Just now, MDsnowPRO said:

Go to bed

No ty but you can

What hour is it out too so far

4 minutes ago, Warm Nose said:

My issue is it's easy to say 'bad data' but that doesn't account for the many times it's never second guessed when it shows what you want.

This my local Mets just embraced the jog west and locked it in. But models shows western tracks or a jog they say to early to call

16 minutes ago, Mshaffer526 said:

ICON and RGEM are way west. 00z suite is starting off with a bang. 

Bang in what way 

We need to start holding the national weather service accountable yeah this is going to be slightly ranty. But think about it logically for a minute how often are the models actually write and I'm not just talking about three or four days out I'm talking about the day before storm. I swear to God models were more accurate before all these upgrades in 2000 and 2005 or so models I would say 50/50 would get it right now it's like every single storm they show even the day before we're supposed to get it oh all of a sudden all models show it's going to jog 150 to 200 miles east. Does anyone have an actual percentage of what they're right about I mean to show Pennsylvania from Central to East and most of Maryland having 48 or 12 in and then all of a sudden now nothing every single model shifted from a slightly Coast hugger now to out the sea in a way. I mean think about it for a second if we were wrong that much at our jobs you would have been fired lol

why i dont get excited any more about storms 4 5 6 days out. the models never ever hold any more. wouldnt be surprised if this goes off the south east coast. if it does stay near the coast it wont have the strength or precip. I wish every would get the best out of this storm but as normal it feels it isnt our storm or at least the big one.

I have another question so yesterday my high for fri was 27 now its all the way to 35? would this signal the storm is closer to the coast? pushing warmer ocean air into our area? or am i reading to much into this I know normally our forecast highs tend to be warmer then they end up being warm bias and all.

Models are just sad lol

Ty no one said this at all hope the storm can blast the boundary apart lol

Snow cut off makes no sense to me. Storm this powerful that trending more West just cuts off snow this drastic ????? Sine people are saying online claiming it's to powerful so it's compact 1 the storm is huge 2 I've seen sub ,960mb dump snow back to Ohio 

Dang was the euro bad ? It's dead in here 

at work all night hard to read every post  even if it didnt phase as early as we all would like I was just thinking about the scope of the storm is so big and being maybe a 24 hour event getting sub 6 inchs is pretty bad imo.

So by all accounts the size of this storm could be huge if modeled correct. so my question why the sudden cut off in amounts in central MD and central PA?

Thought it would be more active tonight 

3 minutes ago, Ji said:

were all trying to get our 18z blizzard back...we are the buffalo bills of this storm...feels like it was stolen from us

Honestly the ending felt very rigged 

2 hours ago, paweather said:

Everything is falling apart 

its fun to watch models but %90 they dont pan out 2 days out let alone 6 days

I drove to almost state collage and back tho it was snowy I didnt have really any thing for covering roads. Just got home aa hour ago.

We have to fight the dry air too.

26 minutes ago, MAG5035 said:

It certainly could simply because it will be a high ratio snow, likely of the 18-20:1 variety overall and perhaps even higher ratios in the mountains where there will be some extra upslope lift on the westerly flow. Whole column from 850mb up is in the ideal temp range for snow growth.  I think the Laurels counties probably could get an advisory type deal (PBZ already has them out). The big thing will be seeing how the precip makes it away from the Laurel’s and how much of a downsloping shadow gets cast towards the Sus Valley. Good chance most see a minimum coating to an inch though.

This whole process looks like it may repeat itself to some degree Monday evening regardless of what the southern stream wave Tuesday does because the second clipper low running the northern branch now looks like it’s going to run ahead of it.  

Then later Tuesday would be the timeframe for the southern stream system to do something. GFS/Euro have become extremely disinterested in doing anything with it and instead squashing it into the Gulf of Mexico. Our newly anointed guru of the 60-84hr range the NAM brings it up enough to generate some light snow in PA on the arctic frontal boundary, which I think is what we should look for from that system as a best case scenario since we have the northern branch clipper low coming out ahead and thus not much opportunity to amplify and try to turn up. 

Either way though, that’s three distinct chances at snowfall for C-PA the next 3 days even if they’re lighter events. And I have pretty high confidence in the first 2 doing something. 

We have to fight off the dry air too.

my bday storm lol

This saddens me all this cold air going to waste.

Woke up to a big fat nothing for snow. It's sad all the models busted 

Shit models can even get a 12 hour for set right. Woke up to no snow at all I'm done watching , long range forecasts lol 

true but would of been nice for all of us to get a few inchs.

Dont feel to bad all total bust for me in south PA temps are actually up from midnight 34 then to 35 36 now 38. front all ready passed by so go figure.