Ruin

8 hours ago, Jns2183 said:

It isn't even totally frozen in the picture! I think we would need below zero weather, highs as well as lows for a week solid in order for it to freeze enough for any kind of an attempt

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We had highs in the mid teens.And we had lows at zero or negative for a week

how many days has it been now we havent hit the freezing mark. We are very well below normal for this winter in temps so far. I think the long range winter models showed cold early on but warming end of jan into feb that doesnt look accurate at all any more. 

This has to be one of the longest cold snaps in the last 20 years. while it may not be the coldest we ever had its pretty long lived. I havent seen snow stick around and hardly melt for a week like this last storm in a long time.

sadly we often dont get a second snow storm after we just had a big one. so this long lived lie snow breeds snow I never bought. so many times the next storm misses or never forms. I think I only remember 2 times of back to back snow storms. one of them were back to back blizzards after the first one the meteorologist even said the chances of a second blizzard is nothing because it just doesnt happen. I mean we got the second storm but it rarely happens. 

Yesterday it got to twenty three.When the forecast was twenty today, we were at twenty six when the forecast was at nineteen severe surprise.At temperatures got that high.Considering, we were supposed to only be in the team

so no chances at all this moves enough north west or the precip shield goes back enough to get any snow in central PA?

3 hours ago, Yardstickgozinya said:

I'm looking forward to it. 

mother of god 

about 13 inchs before the sleet started then changed back over we hit just over 13 again then more sleet i ddint measure again after that 

4 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Does anyone know how the “snow depth” measurements work on the regional observations at MDT?

The 7 am snow depth showed 3 inches and the 1 pm snow depth said 7 inches. Do they “clear the board” every 6 hours and start fresh?

With 1.1 QPF through 1 pm, there should no way MDT only has a depth of 7 at this time right?

I am at my dad's he us right at the airport. I have 11 inches almost a foot

Very hvy snow no pingers yet 

nah

Just now, anotherman said:

Look at a real radar. It’s the yellows.

sleet line is just north of dc atm 

1 minute ago, anotherman said:

Sleet seems primed to mix in here at any moment.

nah its still hours away 

how is the transfer going and low placement about the same? I posted earlier a surface map that showed a L off the south east by sc ga and a low inm the gulf that I dont think was forecasted haha Just saw the post above me 

9 minutes ago, Roger Smith said:

71/69 New Orleans and 17/10 Little Rock, 1006 mb low near Jackson MS. Coastal low looks to be in formative stages east of C Hat where it's 1019 mb and 48F. Below freezing inland as far south as central GA.

Is that earlier than forecasted and is it in the same? Area that it was forecasted, or is deviated a bit

Just over 5 inches temp down to 9

Heavy snow atm

1 hour ago, pasnownut said:

With all due respect, can you try to enjoy what the storm is giving you, and not share every detail of thing you see going wrong.  No offense, but many of your obs, are often bunk claims.  Sit back, listen, learn.....

and enjoy.  Please and thanks.

I am enjoying it but i'm just saying there is a dry area down to the southwest of us.I don't like to see that.I'm just pointing it out

3 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I need this in my life 

Careful fruition about that.Because the dry area is just to the south.And west of those big blobs and moisture, unfortunately, it doesn't look like the radar is filling in.It's actually getting drier

9 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Yes, it is likely overdone, but it is never a bad thing to have the Euro on your side. It gives a range of outcomes.

The general rule is if a model is on its own, it’s likely wrong, so that is my thinking with the NAM.
Every other short range & global model says we get more. The reality will likely be somewhere in between.

It'll be nice to get it. But given the radar, Southwest is starting to dry up a bit. Unless it fills in, it looks like this. Snow's gotta cut off a little earlier

I dont feel like going out and seeing how much it snowed so far lol. but its down to 11 degrees down 2 in the last hour. lower then forecast that was 14. I dunno if we will get the they high of 22 at this rate with heavy precip 

7 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

SPC 

darn before it was 2 inch a hour rates that was being talked about 

7 minutes ago, baltosquid said:

Mix line was in the district at this hour last run.

nice thanks 

16 minutes ago, baltosquid said:

Looks like it really wants to fight the line! Gives DC a bit more cushion at 9am, maybe would be an extra 15-30 minutes of snow

could you post that 

Um guys why do we have a L off the south east coast? that wasnt modeled at all? not only that but we have a low in the gulf too?