Ruin

most likely will be colder with the storm bringing down cold air north west.

2 hours ago, Ji said:

the spire is the modern day version of the Cras

How does this model have rain north west of the snow lol

1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Enjoy the 4 day warm up…

nope 

nothing happenend with it even tho I was under it for 4 hours temps went from 19 too 24 still cloudy 

51 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Ever since I made my post the temp has risen steadily. It's 

U wouldnt surprise me if they're just trying to push a temp up a little bit.So that they're right with their forecast

any reports of this hitting the ground? observations on weather sites just go by radar now not any human and makes observations. Not doing anything atm but radar shows this.

4 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

When the models were showing a great pattern over the next 10 days and beyond a few days back, it was showing this system but it was way suppressed to the south because of the cold press. Now that the block is falling apart, the cold press isn't as much, allowing this system to come up north. Hopefully we still have enough cold air to snow if the precip comes up that far.

models that do temp guidance have been so wrong over the last 7 winters always show this historic cold for weeks turns out to be a bit below for a day or 2 

im so so so so tired of models showing cold the forecast shows cold then models flip and then the forecast goes from upper 20s to low 30s now shows mid 40s? this is from the 6th on. Now they are forecasting a mini warm up just form this signal just yesterday it was showing cold I looked out a week ahead cause half my job is outside. It just amazes me so now we are kicking the can down the road again for any chance of snow

5 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

I’m mean… 

lol wow 

51 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

My "issue" with MU is all about the tone in his messages. It seems like he's aggressively defending his warm-biased ideas. He's always been a warm weather guy but he's never been so brazen about it. It feels like he's been getting some sort of negative feedback and is fighting back. Whatever it is, it's not a good look.

Many many mets have a warm bias 

21 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Here are CTP’s thoughts for tomorrow.

By the mid to late afternoon (New Years Eve), a wave of low
pressure will drift eastward across the Great Lakes, and drag an
Arctic front south through the Commonwealth. Underneath a
favorable left exit region of an upper jet, this front could
produce a threat of snow squalls late Wednesday evening into the
New Year. Current expectation is that the front and associated
snow squall threat will move into northwest PA in the 6-8PM
timeframe and then race southeast, crossing the I-99 corridor
between 10PM and midnight and then getting into the Lower
Susquehanna Valley between midnight and 2AM. Anyone planning
to travel for the New Year should be prepared for the risk of
snow squalls. If a Snow Squall Warning is issued, delay travel
or exit the highway at the next opportunity.

This is my problem they change a forecast 30 times before the day happens and say they are accurate. 

2 hours ago, pawatch said:

Looks like a wind advisory the rest of the week. 

And yeah, pretty sure that this wind was supposed to subside early today.But it didn't

21 minutes ago, WmsptWx said:

To provide the MU guy a tiny defense, 

 

James Spann posted the 8-14 day outlook about an hour ago and it shows warmth over just about the entire CONUS while referencing just a couple of days ago it showed "extreme cold."

 

So I wonder if more mets are going through it. 

Lol same story every winter

18 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said:

GFs is warm wet cold dry. Great patterns have been 2 weeks away for the last 10 years. 

Yep, I get so tired of people saying, oh, the cold is a week away.The cold is a week away, and then it gets pushed back.And pushed back, and then when we actually do get into the cold..Nowhere near is.It has historic as the temperature guidance suggested instead of like being thirty degrees below.Average.It's like ten

1 hour ago, Jns2183 said:

Wherever you are, it seems more in line with weather in DC than Harrisburg. I would follow forecasts for them instead of Harrisburg

Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
 

Live right outside harrisburg 

Temp 33.2

7 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

Why dry slot? It's freezing drizzle here I saw one car spin out already? This was never supposed to be a single blob. Did you even look at simulated radar the past few days? Dry slots also usually only happen in miller b or miller A with a defined ccb. This is a clipper

Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
 

I was just outside walking the dog, literally.It's doing nothing somewhere.The clouds are even getting a little bit brighter outside.Not too many slick spots.I mean, the cars, the metal railings, have a little bit of a glaze on it, but the grass isn't even crunchy or icy

Lol abother fail by nws. Glad I wanted no part of the ice.

Ohh yeah, wasn't the heaviest precipitation supposed to be between  4 to 7 pm? With the dry slot we may not have anything fall again till 530 6

Stopped all rdy dry slotting moving in

20 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:

What are you talking about? The forecast has been steady as a rock temperature wise for days. It's 29

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My digital temp from outside now reads 31.4 so just cause the forecast says 28 29 etc doesn't mean it's right 

All sleet np snow so much for any snow 

18 minutes ago, canderson said:

What you are pointing out, like serval had told you all week, will mean significant ice accretion. 

lol I guess you didnt see what ive said radar is very dry and temps are all rdy higher then forecasted. 29 was the high last night for today now its been revised up to 33. all rdy 31.7

41 minutes ago, Storm Clouds said:

Radar is pretty pathetic…good no one needs ice during the holidays and all the traveling! 

said this late last night and early today looks like local forecasts had a better handle on the radar then nws 

3 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Latest HRRR brings over 1 inch of sleet to Harrisburg & Lancaster with a tenth or 2 of freezing rain on top.

keeps on lowering it late last night it was 2 inchs of sleet