Ruin

Also got warmer in my area then I saw forecasted 41 but got to 45 and of course clouds decided to roll in just as it was getting dark so no cooling. still sitting at 41 mix of rain and very wet snow vs a dryer snow was forecast just being real about it.

I thought it looked dry but damn thats bs snow hole someone has a personal grudge with lsv 

30 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

If you ever post that a storm looks primed to hammer us, I am going to run for the hills!

Lol 

Looks moisture starved atm

1 hour ago, mahantango#1 said:

My NWS forecast has less than an inch tomorrow night.

I swear nws has a fav line a long with local mets. little to no accum or 1 inch or less 

good chance this may be the last storm with cold outbreak now turning turning into a warm up lol im still miffed about this.

1 hour ago, TimB said:

It’s gone. The secret was that there was never going to be an extended cold stretch because those don’t exist anymore.

ty for replying this does piss me off cause so many different runs showed it. but what really irks me when the tmp guidance says warm up it happens 

so let me ask this since we were in storm mode yesterday. what happened to that cold stretch every one kept talking about after mid month? they kept saying looks like below average temps going into second half of feb and may linger into march so highs in the lower 30s vs highs near 40 for the average. im looking on forecasts and I see one day at 37 then I even see a few mid 50s popping up next week?

Branches down all over neighbors home is a out to be hit by a big branch 

Temp down to 38

50 minutes ago, Beagles20 said:

I may be barking up the wrong tree here, but while models are depicting more snow (in most cases) than currently forecasted by local and regional mets, the ground is warmer (not frozen) at least in my area along with the marginal temps at the surface.  With that, while most of the storm will be snow (as modeled), the models do not take into account the ground temps and only the air temps at the different levels of the surface.  Therefore, until areas get into the heavier snow bands, snow may not accumulate as much as models are depicting, hence the lower snow amounts.  Is this accurate when it comes to models?

let me rephrase this when I was talking about the cold didnt mean for you think I meant winter weather. But 4-10 days ago it was hinted at showed we would get a good below temp singal for the second half of th month. So temps in the 20s 30s but on the 7 day its showing again near normal temps from upper 30s to low 40s and even a few mid 40s later on.is the cold air once again pushed back or doesnt it come downs as far south any more?

1 what did happen to this so cold cold streak after 15th? 2 it looks like all the mets local and most national are downplaying not buying what models and saying except for it being more south. they are throwing any signs of more then a few wet inchs out the window. but yet they still say a time where heavy snow will be around. does any one here remember a time where the local and most national meteorologists forecasted the opposite of what the models said  if they showed snow and they said not that much or where the model showed almost nothing and they go out on a limb and say 6-10 inchs 

16 minutes ago, canderson said:

CBS21 sticking with c-2” for most everyone south of MDT.  Says it’ll be done by 9 am.

this storm is a very strange disconnect nws says over around 12-2 abc 27 and whp 21 are saying 9-10 and less then nothing except on grass 

dang down to 39 now was at 41 bounced to 43 but now down to 39

8 minutes ago, CoralRed said:

NWS and others say Williamsport gets almost nothing at under 2. AccuWeather still sticking with the prior program. I do not know why:

TONIGHT'S WEATHER

MON, FEB 12

 Snow; rain mixed in early, accumulating 4-8 inches; slippery conditions may lead to travel disruptions Lo: 34°

 Tomorrow: 1-3 inches of snow early in the morning; mostly cloudy and breezy; storm total 4-8"; dangerous travel in the morning with some improvement in the afternoon Hi: 41°

damn its the other way for me nws saying we get hit hard accurate and local mets are not impressed with it saying slush 1-2 or maybe most 1-4

yeah sprinkles started at 530-6 light rain at 630 this is way faster then forecasted 

they claim comes too an end 10am the future cast radar abc 27 now has 1-4 slushy inchs lol

19 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Channel 21 with a laughable trace to 2" for most of the Lsv.

heard this on the radio drive home they even said wwa no winter storm watch like whats with all the locals calling for trace-2 or 1-3 nws says 4-8 major disconnect 

Sprinkles all rdy in harrisburg 

56 minutes ago, Rd9108 said:

Pretty amazing I went from worrying about this thing cutting to Cleveland to now this whole storm evolution changing and missing to the south. I think a lot of Mets are baffled by this big of a change. 

They are always baffled 

So update to abc 27 saying mostly rain posted a screen earlier. watched this a bit ago showing that even around 2-3pm they are still calling for rain. I thought it was over by then. was gonna post another screen but file is to big?

1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Harrisburg went from 1.4 at 18z to 7.1 at 0z on the ICON.

all the models are increasing the totals but my local mets just went nah rain 

I dont get why so many local mets are saying mostly rain 

lol latest update from abc 27 earlier today they had 2-4 for harrisburg area and ran around md/pa line now they have way less even tho the models trended more south 

My question is with the temps being almost 70 for some on fri upper 50s sat and 50 today how much would the warm ground plus maybe some heavy front end rain make it hard for the snow to stick with temps in the mid to upper 30s and no real cold air feeding into the system effect us? I know if we get good rates we can fall a few degrees fast. We need to get a bit colder tomorrow night before anything moves in and hope we get some cooling with evap cooling