clskinsfan

If you really like snow falling than 2 inch per hour rates is as good as it gets....Just saying.

HRDPS has backed down a little as well. Still. all of the models show a 2-4/3-6 event. Which is what most of us expected all along. Will someone hit 8? Yep.

I would bet your side if I had to choose one. 4-6 is probably realistic.

Yep. Very little. Yes. I have to drive in the most hellacious traffic every day for HOURS. But there is a huge benefit to that.

26/11 Just took the dog for a nice long walk. High clouds off in the distance. Stars to the east. But not to the west. It just SMELLS like a snow storm to me. Maybe a placebo effect?

You really need help. Losing your shit over the one model that has been absolutely pathetic so far for this event? It has flip flopped like a fish out of water for 2 days?

18Z NAM Cobb data. I will only post the line with the highest snow total. Ir you want to look at the rest of the data. Go to this link and enter your closest airport: http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/cobb/cobb.php?model=gfsm&site=kmrb MRB: 190113/1800Z 48 04008KT 29.6F SNOW 8:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.006 11:1| 4.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.47 100| 0| 0 IAD: 190113/2000Z 50 02007KT 30.3F SNOW 13:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.005 10:1| 6.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.63 100| 0| 0 DCA: 190113/2000Z 50 03007KT 30.3F SNOW 11:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.004 10:1| 7.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.72 100| 0| 0 BWI: 190113/1900Z 49 03008KT 29.6F SNOW 9:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.006 11:1| 6.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.60 100| 0| 0 WOO: 190113/1900Z 49 04006KT 27.9F SNOW 10:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.007 9:1| 4.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.52 100| 0| 0

Stunning and saved. Thanks!

Here she comes. The short range models have done a very good job with just how juicy this storm would be. Enjoy ya'll we have earned this.

27/11 Nice crisp winter night.

@Bob Chill Start the storm obs thread. You put in a TON of work on here. Time to start tracking temps and DP's. Bring it home.

Not worried about mixing on the southern eastern shore?

Probably more than that actually. 8-10

Yes it does. Thats my call for that area.

It is about time for a storm obs thread. We are 12-14 hours away from some in this subforum seeing flakes. Somebody start it. I started one a decade ago on Eastern and it was an absolute disaster.

My final call for the Shenandoah Valley: Winchester 5-8 Stephens City 6-9 Middletown/Front Royal/Strasburg 7-10 Woodstock/New Market/Luray 7-10 Harrisonburg/Staunton 8-11 Covington/ Clifton Forge 9-12 Roanoake/Lynchburg 2-4 with .25-.35 of ice on top.

18Z RGEM is a beat down. Please let it be back to being a decent model.

Love seeing the Ukie and Euro swing the .5 line up over my area. All along I felt like this was going to be one of those region wide 3-6 type deals. I may end up busting low on that number. Maybe a 4-8 event instead.

Man. The GFS is a really good run NOVA/DC south. Moderate snow pretty much all morning Sunday in DC.

Snow into the Shenandoah Valley late morning tomorrow. Into DC early afternoon. Moderate snow into the area late evening.

GFS at 24 looks more amped up at 500. Should be a great run incoming.

6Z GFS Cobb data. I am not going to post the entire thing. It is too long. I will just post the highest snow total for each airport. If you want to see all of the data from your closest airport go here and enter your airport code: http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/cobb/cobb.php?model=gfsm&site=kiad kmrb: 190113/0800Z 50 11004KT 28.7F SNOW 8:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.012 8:1| 1.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.21 100| 0| 0 kiad: 190113/1400Z 56 07006KT 29.7F SNOW 7:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.013 11:1| 3.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.34 100| 0| 0 kdca: 190113/1500Z 57 06007KT 31.4F SNOW 7:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.010 9:1| 2.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.31 100| 0| 0 kbwi: 190113/1500Z 57 06007KT 29.9F SNOW 10:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.011 10:1| 2.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.22 100| 0| 0 woo: 190113/2000Z 62 05006KT 29.6F SNOW 7:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.010 9:1| 6.4|| 0.02|| 0.00|| 0.73 100| 0| 0

12K NAM looks really nice throughout the corridor. 3-6 pretty much for everyone except far NE MD.

Fixed that one for you.

Yeah. I noticed that. Still a long ways to go. But that is one hell of a monster storm on GFS. Entire east coast from Maine to Florida is in it.