clskinsfan
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Everything posted by clskinsfan
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The CMC is a legit snowstorm for the weekend. Both days.
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Somebody has to post that image on DT's Facebook page. I would but he blocked me 5 years ago.
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GFS has the Saturday sleet bomb as well. It is a really weird run. Snows on Winchester for hours as the storm approaches. I would take it.
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New GFS looks a lot like the RGEM.
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DT has to be sweating the GFS. Dont know how CHO is getting 10 inches off of .3 qpf. Saturday storm incoming on the GFS.
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The GFS is rolling out slower than my 1985 Datsun. At 12 it appears there is less cold push.
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ICON is a pretty big step back on qpf.
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The RGEM is doing the same thing the GFS did and expanding the precip shield with wave 2. The heavy stuff is still south of DC. But everyone sees flakes from it at least.
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Really nice thump from the RGEM with the first wave.
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RGEM out to 21. More juice with the first wave. Looks good so far.
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Some serious rates incoming as modelled.
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Saturday storm is juicy. I would think it starts with a burst of snow over to heavy sleet. Looks like fun.
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NAM with a sleet bomb on Saturday as well. Are we going to start talking about that one in here or still use the other thread for it.
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How much mix did it show for jyo? The 12K has a lot. The other two NAM's not so much.
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2 more of those and we are in business. Hell at this point I will take a 6 inch snow and be happy with it.
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2-4 for a two day snowstorm. Oh joy.
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Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED
clskinsfan replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
That Tuesday event is quickly becoming a Monday/Tuesday event with precip riding along the boundary. What a crazy week we have coming. -
The GFS is insistent on that central VA precip hole. Only model I see with it. But it just wont go away.
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Much better wave 2 though. I will take that trade off in a heartbeat.
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GFS weak and tainted with the first wave.
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Thing is if you wish for the first wave to be juiced up it might miss north. And the second wave looks pretty much gone to me for anyone north of DC. This could easily end up with both missing.
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.5 total qpf. Another cut back. Meh.
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I am just going to hug my zone forecast. I can't remember the last time it had snow on it for 5 days in a row.
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The problem is the trend. 12z yesterday was 1.1 qpf, Oz .8, 12z today .6. This one is drying up before it even starts.
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Euro insists on staying south with the good rates. .6 total qpf for Winchester. Meh.
